BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos
Decisão
Match Timeline
Serra Branca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
35'
Kayan
Serra Branca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Decisão Win 41.6%
Draw 17.8%
Serra Branca Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Decisão1
Serra Branca1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Decisão Decisão
WWDLW
7 GF / 12 GA
Serra Branca Serra Branca
WLDWL
10 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Decisão Decisão 7 matches
Serra Branca Serra Branca 7 matches
Decisão Statistic Serra Branca
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 4
4 Losses 1
7 Goals For 10
12 Goals Against 7
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Serra Branca's more proactive style and Decisão's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Serra Branca. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Decisão have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Serra Branca carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 10 points while Decisão sit 6 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Serra Branca having the stronger overall control.

Decisão Analysis

With 4 points from 6 games and a place of 6, Decisão still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 6:12 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Tulio (6 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Serra Branca Analysis

Serra Branca arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 10 points after 7 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 10:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Clayton (2 goals), Kayan (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Decisão won 0 times, Serra Branca won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from Decisão's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.2%)
H2H summary: Decisão wins 0, draws 0, Serra Branca wins 2
Last matches: Decisão
14.06.26
Ser
Decisão
Lagarto
0
1
L
06.06.26
Ser
Decisão
Treze
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Sergipe
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Retrô
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Treze
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Retrô
3
2
W
18.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Serra Branca
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Sergipe
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Lagarto
1
1
D
04.01.26
Fri
Decisão
Confiança
1
0
W
Last matches: Serra Branca
04.07.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Uberlandia
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Juazeirense
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Juazeirense
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Sergipe
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Retrô
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Treze
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Lagarto
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Lagarto
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Treze
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Decisão
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Retrô
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Sergipe
1
1
D
H2H: Decisão vs Serra Branca
24.05.26
H2H
Decisão
Serra Branca
0
1
L
18.04.26
H2H
Serra Branca
Decisão
3
0
L
Last matches: Decisão
06.06.26
Ser
Decisão
Treze
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Sergipe
3
2
W
26.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Retrô
3
2
W
05.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Lagarto
1
1
D
04.01.26
Fri
Decisão
Confiança
1
0
W
H2H at home: Decisão
24.05.26
H2H
Decisão
Serra Branca
0
1
L
Last matches: Serra Branca
28.06.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Juazeirense
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Sergipe
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Lagarto
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Treze
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Retrô
2
2
D
H2H away: Serra Branca
24.05.26
H2H
Decisão
Serra Branca
0
1
W