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MONTENEGRO › FIRST LEAGUE
20.09.2026 17:00
Tusko
Dečić
Match Timeline
Mornar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
N. Medojevic
Mornar
⚽
41'
A. Soussi
Mornar
🔄
46'
A. Soussi ↔ M. Rovcanin
Mornar
🔄
46'
N. Medojevic ↔ B. Dubljevic
Mornar
🟨
63'
N. Stijepovic
Mornar
🔄
64'
M. Djokaj ↔ A. Cetkovic
Dečić
🔄
64'
P. Pavlicevic ↔ S. Stanisavic
Dečić
🔄
73'
B. Radusinovic ↔ P. Ivanovic
Dečić
🟨
74'
S. Stanisavic
Dečić
🟨
76'
J. Mugosa
Dečić
🔄
77'
D. Skrijelj ↔ M. Djurisic
Mornar
⚽
84'
J. Mugosa
Dečić
🟨
87'
B. Dubljevic
Mornar
🔄
89'
J. Dresaj ↔ M. Gjolaj
Dečić
🔄
89'
D. Kontic ↔ A. Adzovic
Dečić

Dečić vs Mornar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dečić Win 50.7%
Draw 17.1%
Mornar Win 32.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dečić1.13
Mornar0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dečić Dečić
WWDLW
15 GF / 11 GA
Mornar Mornar
WLDWL
15 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
0.94
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
5
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dečić Dečić 12 matches
Mornar Mornar 16 matches
Dečić Statistic Mornar
5 Wins 5
3 Draws 5
4 Losses 6
15 Goals For 15
11 Goals Against 15
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
5 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mornar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mornar having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Dečić Analysis

Dečić come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 14 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 9:4 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Mornar Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 12 points from 7 games, Mornar bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 8:5, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dečić won 7 times, Mornar won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:9 from Dečić's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
H2H summary: Dečić wins 7, draws 4, Mornar wins 4

Standings

Prva Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 17:12 5 17
D W W L W
2 10 4 3 3 11:7 4 15
D W W W L
3 10 4 3 3 11:7 4 15
D W W W D
4 9 4 3 2 10:7 3 15
D L D L W
5 9 4 3 2 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
6 10 3 5 2 12:10 2 14
D D L L W
7 10 3 2 5 10:17 -7 11
D L L W W
8 10 2 4 4 12:18 -6 10
D L D L W
9 9 1 5 3 7:9 -2 8
L L D D D
10 9 1 4 4 5:11 -6 7
L W L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga