MONTENEGRO FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Tusko
Dečić
Match Timeline
Jezero
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
Z. Tomasevic ↔ R. Gjelaj
Dečić
🔄
23'
I. Redzepagic ↔ U. Bulatovic
Jezero
45'
T. Selimi
Dečić
🔄
46'
↔ M. Kojic
Jezero
🟨
47'
N. Krivokapic
Jezero
55'
T. Selimi
Dečić
🔄
63'
D. Bozovic ↔ M. Djokaj
Dečić
🔄
63'
B. Radusinovic ↔ D. Perovic
Dečić
66'
V. Strikovic
Dečić
🔄
69'
A. Adzovic ↔ E. Redzepagic
Jezero
🔄
69'
N. Krivokapic ↔ O. Rolovic
Jezero
🔄
71'
T. Selimi ↔ A. Maloku
Dečić
🔄
71'
J. Dresaj ↔ P. Ljuljdjuraj
Dečić
🔄
76'
M. Ilic ↔ R. Redzic
Jezero

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 42.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
42.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dečić Win 55.3%
Draw 17.9%
Jezero Win 26.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dečić1.22
Jezero1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dečić Dečić
WWDLW
44 GF / 47 GA
Jezero Jezero
WLDWL
36 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
19
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
14
2
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dečić Dečić 36 matches
Jezero Jezero 32 matches
Dečić Statistic Jezero
14 Wins 10
9 Draws 10
13 Losses 12
44 Goals For 36
47 Goals Against 39
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
19 BTTS Yes 18
24 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 7
2 Shots On Goal 0
8 Total Shots 0
6 Corners 0
42% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Jezero. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Jezero having the stronger overall control.

Dečić Analysis

Placed 3 with 48 points from 32 outings, Dečić continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, while the 39:39 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Selimi (8 goals), A. Kajevic (6 goals), D. Bozovic (5 goals), with creative support from P. Pavlicevic (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Jezero Analysis

From their first 32 matches, Jezero have collected 40 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 36:39 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Maksimovic (13 goals), M. Raicevic (8 goals), O. Rolovic (5 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dečić won 6 times, Jezero won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:11 from Dečić's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: Dečić 4-3-3 / Jezero -
H2H summary: Dečić wins 6, draws 6, Jezero wins 3

Lineups

Dečić
Formation
Jezero
D. Radosevic
D. Radosevic
Z. Tomasevic
Z. Tomasevic
D. Bozovic
D. Bozovic
L. Ujkaj
L. Ujkaj
L. Maras
L. Maras
T. Selimi
⚽ 2
T. Selimi
P. Sekulovic
P. Sekulovic
J. Dresaj
J. Dresaj
B. Radusinovic
B. Radusinovic
P. Pavlicevic
P. Pavlicevic
V. Strikovic
V. Strikovic
I. Asanovic
I. Asanovic
I. Tucevic
I. Tucevic
M. Ilic
M. Ilic
N. Jovicic
N. Jovicic
M. Bojovic
M. Bojovic
B. Boricic
B. Boricic
I. Redzepagic
I. Redzepagic
A. Adzovic
A. Adzovic
N. Krivokapic
N. Krivokapic
M. Gjolaj
M. Gjolaj
D. Maksimovic
D. Maksimovic
Dečić 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
D. Radosevic
5
Z. Tomasevic
↓ 13'
7
D. Bozovic
↓ 63'
17
L. Ujkaj
18
L. Maras
19
T. Selimi
⚽ 45' ⚽ 55' ↓ 71'
20
P. Sekulovic
22
J. Dresaj
↓ 71'
32
B. Radusinovic
↓ 63'
74
P. Pavlicevic
77
V. Strikovic
⚽ 66'
Substitutes
21
A. Camaj
8
A. Maloku
↑ 71'
11
M. Djokaj
↑ 63'
15
P. Ljuljdjuraj
↑ 71'
23
R. Gjelaj
↑ 13'
29
N. Braunovic
44
D. Perovic
↑ 63'
50
H. Kajoshaj
72
I. Ndiaye
Jezero 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
50
I. Asanovic
17
I. Tucevic
4
M. Ilic
↓ 76'
27
N. Jovicic
29
M. Bojovic
80
B. Boricic
16
I. Redzepagic
↓ 23'
5
A. Adzovic
↓ 69'
11
N. Krivokapic
↓ 69' 🟨 47'
14
M. Gjolaj
44
D. Maksimovic
Substitutes
1
S. Kolic
2
A. Osmanovic
3
M. Kojic
↑ 46'
8
U. Bulatovic
↑ 23'
9
E. Redzepagic
↑ 69'
19
O. Rolovic
↑ 69'
21
R. Redzic
↑ 76'
25
S. Vucetovic
99
A. Julevic
Last matches: Dečić
15.07.26
UEF
Dečić
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Dečić
FK Liepaja
0
1
L
04.07.26
Fri
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
4
1
W
17.06.26
Fri
Dečić
Vllaznia Shkodër
1
1
D
24.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
0
1
L
20.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
L
16.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
0
3
L
02.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
1
1
D
26.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
18.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
0
1
L
12.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
4
2
W
08.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
1
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
1
2
L
11.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
0
1
L
01.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
25.02.26
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
2
1
W
Last matches: Jezero
03.06.26
Fir
Jezero
Iskra
5
1
W
29.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Iskra
3
0
W
24.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Mornar
0
2
L
20.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Jedinstvo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Mladost DG
2
2
D
02.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
26.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Sutjeska
1
1
D
18.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Bokelj
2
0
W
12.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Petrovac
1
1
D
08.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Buducnost Podgorica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Mornar
0
2
L
21.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Jedinstvo
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Mladost DG
1
3
L
11.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Dečić
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Sutjeska
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fir
Jezero
Bokelj
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fir
Jezero
Petrovac
1
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Jezero
Sutjeska
1
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
3
1
W
H2H: Dečić vs Jezero
10.05.26
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
3
0
W
11.03.26
H2H
Jezero
Dečić
1
2
W
09.11.25
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
1
0
W
13.09.25
H2H
Jezero
Dečić
4
0
L
10.05.25
H2H
Jezero
Dečić
1
1
D
12.03.25
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
1
2
L
06.11.24
H2H
Jezero
Dečić
0
2
W
02.11.24
H2H
Jezero
Dečić
1
1
D
31.08.24
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
1
0
W
12.05.24
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
2
0
W
08.05.24
H2H
Jezero
Dečić
1
0
L
17.04.24
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
0
0
D
13.03.24
H2H
Jezero
Dečić
1
1
D
11.11.23
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
0
0
D
03.09.23
H2H
Jezero
Dečić
0
0
D
Last matches: Dečić
15.07.26
UEF
Dečić
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
4
1
W
20.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
L
26.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
12.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
4
2
W
04.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
0
0
D
15.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
0
1
L
25.02.26
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
0
0
D
14.12.25
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
10.12.25
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
3
4
L
30.11.25
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
4
2
W
09.11.25
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
1
0
W
05.10.25
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
1
0
W
27.09.25
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
0
2
L
17.09.25
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
3
1
W
31.08.25
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
2
2
D
17.08.25
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
2
1
W
04.08.25
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
3
2
W
24.07.25
UEF
Dečić
Rapid Vienna
0
2
L
H2H at home: Dečić
10.05.26
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
3
0
W
09.11.25
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
1
0
W
12.03.25
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
1
2
L
31.08.24
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
1
0
W
12.05.24
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
2
0
W
17.04.24
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
0
0
D
11.11.23
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
0
0
D
Last matches: Jezero
03.06.26
Fir
Jezero
Iskra
5
1
W
20.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Jedinstvo
0
2
L
26.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Sutjeska
1
1
D
18.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Bokelj
2
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Buducnost Podgorica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Mornar
0
2
L
15.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Mladost DG
1
3
L
07.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fir
Jezero
Petrovac
1
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Jezero
Sutjeska
1
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
3
1
W
30.11.25
Fir
Jezero
Jedinstvo
1
0
W
09.11.25
Fir
Jezero
Dečić
0
1
L
26.10.25
Fir
Jezero
Sutjeska
0
1
L
18.10.25
Fir
Jezero
Bokelj
0
3
L
01.10.25
Fir
Jezero
Buducnost Podgorica
1
1
D
27.09.25
Fir
Jezero
Mornar
2
2
D
17.09.25
Fir
Jezero
Mladost DG
1
0
W
30.08.25
Fir
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
2
2
D
10.08.25
Fir
Jezero
Petrovac
1
1
D
H2H away: Jezero
10.05.26
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
3
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
1
0
L
12.03.25
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
1
2
W
31.08.24
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
1
0
L
12.05.24
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
2
0
L
17.04.24
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
0
0
D
11.11.23
H2H
Dečić
Jezero
0
0
D

Standings

1. CFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 22 6 8 61:36 25 72
L W W D W
2 36 20 9 7 51:29 22 69
W D D D W
3 36 13 12 11 44:36 8 51
D D W L D
4 36 14 9 13 43:45 -2 51
L L L W D
5 36 13 9 14 36:35 1 48
D W D D L
6 36 14 4 18 49:54 -5 46
W L D W W
7 36 12 10 14 36:46 -10 46
L W L D D
8 36 10 11 15 38:48 -10 41
W W L L D
9 36 8 12 16 38:48 -10 36
W D W L W
10 36 9 8 19 30:49 -19 35
W W L D L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation