MONTENEGRO FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Tusko
Dečić
Match Timeline
Arsenal Tivat
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
52'
I. Vukcevic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
58'
M. Cukovic ↔ A. Imamovic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
58'
P. Malisic ↔ S. Mandic
Arsenal Tivat
60'
I. Ndiaye
Dečić
🔄
61'
J. Dresaj ↔ A. Maloku
Dečić
🔄
61'
B. Radusinovic ↔ P. Ljuljdjuraj
Dečić
🔄
61'
I. Ndiaye ↔ H. Kajoshaj
Dečić
🔄
73'
T. Selimi ↔ D. Perovic
Dečić
🔄
76'
N. Kovinic ↔ J. Montenegro
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
77'
P. Pavlicevic ↔ M. Bozanovic
Dečić
🟨
82'
M. Zivanovic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
85'
I. Sahman ↔ J. Nikolic
Arsenal Tivat
88'
I. Vukcevic
Arsenal Tivat

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 37.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
37.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
50%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dečić Win 51.4%
Draw 13.6%
Arsenal Tivat Win 35.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dečić1.23
Arsenal Tivat1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dečić Dečić
WWDLW
47 GF / 50 GA
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat
WLDWL
33 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
19
BTTS Yes
13
18
Over 2.5
12
2
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dečić Dečić 38 matches
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat 34 matches
Dečić Statistic Arsenal Tivat
15 Wins 11
9 Draws 10
14 Losses 13
47 Goals For 33
50 Goals Against 41
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
19 BTTS Yes 13
26 Over 1.5 21
18 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 12
12 Failed To Score 15
2 Shots On Goal 0
8 Total Shots 0
6 Corners 0
42% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Arsenal Tivat. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arsenal Tivat having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Dečić Analysis

Placed 3 with 51 points from 34 outings, Dečić continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 42:42 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Selimi (10 goals), A. Kajevic (6 goals), D. Bozovic (5 goals), with creative support from P. Pavlicevic (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arsenal Tivat Analysis

So far, Arsenal Tivat have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 43 points from 34 matches. The record of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 33:41 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Bosnjak (5 goals), P. Raznatovic (4 goals), A. Cetkovic (3 goals), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dečić won 6 times, Arsenal Tivat won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:12 from Dečić's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
H2H summary: Dečić wins 6, draws 5, Arsenal Tivat wins 4

Lineups

Dečić
Formation
Arsenal Tivat
D. Radosevic
D. Radosevic
L. Maras
L. Maras
T. Selimi
T. Selimi
P. Sekulovic
P. Sekulovic
J. Dresaj
J. Dresaj
R. Gjelaj
R. Gjelaj
N. Braunovic
N. Braunovic
B. Radusinovic
B. Radusinovic
I. Ndiaye
I. Ndiaye
P. Pavlicevic
P. Pavlicevic
V. Strikovic
V. Strikovic
B. Zogovic
B. Zogovic
M. Cukovic
M. Cukovic
G. Petovic
G. Petovic
I. Sahman
I. Sahman
I. Vukcevic
⚽ 2
I. Vukcevic
P. Malisic
P. Malisic
V. Kascelan
V. Kascelan
Z. Mikijelj
Z. Mikijelj
M. Zivanovic
M. Zivanovic
A. Cetkovic
A. Cetkovic
N. Kovinic
N. Kovinic
Dečić 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
D. Radosevic
18
L. Maras
19
T. Selimi
↓ 73'
20
P. Sekulovic
22
J. Dresaj
↓ 61'
23
R. Gjelaj
29
N. Braunovic
32
B. Radusinovic
↓ 61'
72
I. Ndiaye
⚽ 60' ↓ 61'
74
P. Pavlicevic
↓ 77'
77
V. Strikovic
Substitutes
21
A. Camaj
33
M. Dragojevic
8
A. Maloku
↑ 61'
15
P. Ljuljdjuraj
↑ 61'
16
M. Bozanovic
↑ 77'
34
I. Camaj
44
D. Perovic
↑ 73'
50
H. Kajoshaj
↑ 61'
Arsenal Tivat 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
B. Zogovic
2
M. Cukovic
↓ 58'
5
G. Petovic
8
I. Sahman
↓ 85'
9
I. Vukcevic
⚽ 52' ⚽ 88'
15
P. Malisic
↓ 58'
16
V. Kascelan
19
Z. Mikijelj
26
M. Zivanovic
🟨 82'
28
A. Cetkovic
90
N. Kovinic
↓ 76'
Substitutes
12
I. Bozinovic
3
M. Zivaljevic
4
J. Nikolic
↑ 85'
11
J. Montenegro
↑ 76'
14
A. Imamovic
↑ 58'
17
D. Sim
21
N. Gluscevic
77
S. Mandic
↑ 58'
99
S. Labovic
Last matches: Dečić
17.06.26
Fri
Dečić
Vllaznia Shkodër
1
1
D
24.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
0
1
L
16.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
0
3
L
10.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
3
0
W
02.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
1
1
D
26.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
18.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
0
1
L
12.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
4
2
W
08.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
1
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
1
2
L
11.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
0
1
L
01.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
25.02.26
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
2
1
W
14.12.25
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
10.12.25
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
3
4
L
06.12.25
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
1
1
D
Last matches: Arsenal Tivat
24.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
4
L
16.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
0
3
L
09.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
0
0
D
26.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
1
W
18.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
12.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
0
1
L
08.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
4
L
07.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
0
1
L
25.02.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
21.02.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
2
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
3
L
10.12.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
0
0
D
06.12.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
0
0
D
H2H: Dečić vs Arsenal Tivat
20.05.26
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
L
21.03.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0
1
W
30.11.25
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
4
2
W
21.09.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
1
1
D
12.04.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
1
0
L
22.02.25
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
06.10.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0
0
D
18.09.24
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
3
L
25.05.24
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
3
1
W
30.03.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0
2
W
02.12.23
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
0
1
L
23.09.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0
1
W
14.05.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0
0
D
12.03.23
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
12.11.22
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
1
2
W
Last matches: Dečić
10.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
3
0
W
26.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
12.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
4
2
W
04.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
0
0
D
15.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
0
1
L
25.02.26
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
0
0
D
14.12.25
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
10.12.25
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
3
4
L
30.11.25
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
4
2
W
09.11.25
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
1
0
W
05.10.25
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
1
0
W
27.09.25
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
0
2
L
17.09.25
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
3
1
W
31.08.25
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
2
2
D
17.08.25
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
2
1
W
04.08.25
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
3
2
W
24.07.25
UEF
Dečić
Rapid Vienna
0
2
L
10.07.25
UEF
Dečić
Sileks
2
0
W
H2H at home: Dečić
20.05.26
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
L
30.11.25
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
4
2
W
22.02.25
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
18.09.24
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
3
L
25.05.24
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
3
1
W
02.12.23
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
0
1
L
12.03.23
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
Last matches: Arsenal Tivat
16.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
0
3
L
02.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
0
0
D
18.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
2
1
W
11.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
4
L
01.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
3
L
30.11.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
2
4
L
22.11.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
0
2
L
02.11.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
0
2
L
18.10.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
2
4
L
01.10.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
0
0
D
27.09.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
0
2
L
13.09.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
2
L
24.08.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
0
0
D
10.08.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
2
2
D
H2H away: Arsenal Tivat
20.05.26
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
W
30.11.25
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
4
2
L
22.02.25
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
18.09.24
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
3
W
25.05.24
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
3
1
L
02.12.23
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
0
1
W
12.03.23
H2H
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D

Standings

1. CFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 22 6 8 61:36 25 72
L W W D W
2 36 20 9 7 51:29 22 69
W D D D W
3 36 13 12 11 44:36 8 51
D D W L D
4 36 14 9 13 43:45 -2 51
L L L W D
5 36 13 9 14 36:35 1 48
D W D D L
6 36 14 4 18 49:54 -5 46
W L D W W
7 36 12 10 14 36:46 -10 46
L W L D D
8 36 10 11 15 38:48 -10 41
W W L L D
9 36 8 12 16 38:48 -10 36
W D W L W
10 36 9 8 19 30:49 -19 35
W W L D L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation