De Graafschap vs NAC Breda Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
69.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
De Graafschap
NAC Breda
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
De Graafschap
12 matches
NAC Breda
12 matches
| De Graafschap | Statistic | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 8 | Losses | 6 |
| 20 | Goals For | 19 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 3.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.17 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 15 | Total Shots | 21.83 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 7 |
| 52.8% | Ball Possession | 59.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring NAC Breda. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with De Graafschap expected to line up in 4-3-3 and NAC Breda in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward NAC Breda having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
De Graafschap sit 18 with 4 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 7:18, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through D. Warmerdam (2 goals), J. Kania (2 goals), Bjorn van Zijl (1 goals), with creative support from T. Mero (1 assists), F. de Jong (1 assists), N. Martens (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 7 points from 6 games and a place of 12, NAC Breda still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 11:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Gladon (4 goals), M. Soumano (2 goals), M. Nassoh (2 goals), with creative support from B. Lucassen (2 assists), M. Soumano (1 assists), J. Van Hecke (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, De Graafschap won 6 times, NAC Breda won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from De Graafschap's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24:9 | 15 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 12 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16:14 | 2 | 12 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 10 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 9 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 |
NAC Breda
Away
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 7 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13:22 | -9 | 7 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 4 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 |
De Graafschap
Home
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:18 | -11 | 4 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|