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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
27.09.2026 12:30
De Vijverberg
De Graafschap
Match Timeline
Den Bosch
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Silvan Bröker
Den Bosch
⚽
22'
B. van Zijl · Assist: F. de Jong
De Graafschap
🟨
42'
Emian-Johar Semedo
Den Bosch
🔄
46'
G. Hessels ↔ J. De Kruijff
Den Bosch
🔄
60'
N. Ahmeti ↔ N. Hartgers
De Graafschap
🔄
60'
J. Wieckhoff ↔ M. Diemers
De Graafschap
🔄
60'
B. van Zijl ↔ N. Kaninda
De Graafschap
🔄
61'
E. Semedo ↔ J. de Vries
Den Bosch
🔄
61'
S. Broker ↔ S. Karlsson Grach
Den Bosch
🟨
67'
gijs bolk
De Graafschap
🔄
70'
J. Kania ↔ K. Kwint
De Graafschap
🔄
74'
S. Maas ↔ L. Hoffman
Den Bosch
🔄
80'
D. Warmerdam ↔ J. Hardeman
De Graafschap
🔄
85'
B. Wang ↔ J. Van Heertum
Den Bosch

De Graafschap vs Den Bosch Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
De Graafschap Win 37.1%
Draw 37.1%
Den Bosch Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
De Graafschap1.6
Den Bosch2.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
De Graafschap De Graafschap
WWDLW
21 GF / 43 GA
Den Bosch Den Bosch
WLDWL
23 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.92
3.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
12
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
8
4
Shots on Goal
5.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

De Graafschap De Graafschap 13 matches
Den Bosch Den Bosch 12 matches
De Graafschap Statistic Den Bosch
3 Wins 6
1 Draws 2
9 Losses 4
21 Goals For 23
43 Goals Against 19
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
3.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
12 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 11
12 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 6
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 5.86
14 Total Shots 16.57
4.14 Corners 8.29
52.4% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Den Bosch. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with De Graafschap expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Den Bosch in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Den Bosch having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

De Graafschap Analysis

De Graafschap approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 4 points from 6 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 7:18, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through D. Warmerdam (2 goals), J. Kania (2 goals), Bjorn van Zijl (1 goals), with creative support from T. Mero (1 assists), F. de Jong (1 assists), N. Martens (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Den Bosch Analysis

Den Bosch sit 16 with 7 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 12:16 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Karlsson Grach (4 goals), Devon Decorte (2 goals), K. Monzialo (1 goals), with creative support from K. Monzialo (2 assists), M. Laros (2 assists), Devon Decorte (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, De Graafschap won 7 times, Den Bosch won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:16 from De Graafschap's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.2%)
Predicted formations: De Graafschap 4-3-3 / Den Bosch 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: De Graafschap wins 7, draws 4, Den Bosch wins 3

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 31:12 19 25
W D W L W
2 10 7 1 2 22:7 15 22
W W L W W
3 10 7 0 3 26:14 12 21
W W L W W
4 10 6 1 3 22:18 4 19
W D W L L
5 10 5 2 3 20:19 1 17
W D W W L
6 10 4 4 2 10:8 2 16
D L W D W
7 10 5 1 4 13:20 -7 16
L L W L L
8 10 5 0 5 22:17 5 15
W L W L W
9 10 3 5 2 19:15 4 14
L D L W W
10 10 4 2 4 15:15 0 14
L D L W L
11 10 4 1 5 22:18 4 13
L W D L W
12 10 3 4 3 15:17 -2 13
D L D L W
13 10 4 0 6 15:15 0 12
W W L W L
14 10 3 2 5 14:18 -4 11
W D L W L
15 10 3 2 5 15:22 -7 11
L D L W W
16 10 3 2 5 13:23 -10 11
W D W L W
17 10 2 3 5 16:19 -3 9
L D L L W
18 10 2 2 6 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
19 10 2 2 6 13:27 -14 8
L D W L L
20 10 2 1 7 16:23 -7 7
L L W W D
Promotion - Eredivisie
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)