NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

09.05.2026 18:00

De Graafschap

Almere City FC

De Vijverberg

De Graafschap vs Almere City FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 88.7%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 86.7%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 93.1%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	88.7%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	86.7%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	93.1%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

De Graafschap Win 45.9%

Draw 11.3%

Almere City FC Win 42.9%

Expected Goals (xG)

De Graafschap1.77

Almere City FC1.95

Recent Form (Last 5)

De Graafschap

WWDLW

76 GF / 64 GA

Almere City FC

WLDWL

96 GF / 69 GA

Key Stats

1.9

Average Goals Scored

2.18

1.6

Average Goals Conceded

1.57

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

6.95

Shots on Goal

6.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

De Graafschap 40 matches

Almere City FC 44 matches

De Graafschap	Statistic	Almere City FC
18	Wins	24
9	Draws	4
13	Losses	16
76	Goals For	96
64	Goals Against	69
1.9	Avg Goals Scored	2.18
1.6	Avg Goals Conceded	1.57
29	BTTS Yes	30
35	Over 1.5	40
27	Over 2.5	34
22	Over 3.5	25
6	Clean Sheets	10
6	Failed To Score	4
6.95	Shots On Goal	6.2
17.38	Total Shots	16.73
6.49	Corners	6.83
56.1%	Ball Possession	48.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, De Graafschap won 5 times, Almere City FC won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:25 from De Graafschap's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (88.7%)

Predicted formations: De Graafschap 4-3-3 / Almere City FC 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: De Graafschap wins 5, draws 4, Almere City FC wins 6

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	27	3	4	101:45	56	84	W W D W W
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	26	65	W D W W D
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77:53	24	59	W L D D D
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	19	58	L W D D W
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62:41	21	56	D L D W W
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	13	53	W W W L W
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58:51	7	52	D D D D W
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	4	51	D L W W L
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	4	48	W W L L D
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	-22	43	L L D L L
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49:63	-14	39	L W L L D
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	1	38	L L D D D
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43:56	-13	38	W D W W D
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	-6	37	W W D W L
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44:71	-27	37	L L W L D
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	-20	32	L D L W L
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	-23	29	D W L L D
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	-50	19	L L L L L