Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
72.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
DC United
Toronto FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
DC United
19 matches
Toronto FC
21 matches
| DC United | Statistic | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 6 | Losses | 7 |
| 23 | Goals For | 32 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.19 | Shots On Goal | 4.13 |
| 11.94 | Total Shots | 11.69 |
| 4.56 | Corners | 5.69 |
| 39.5% | Ball Possession | 47.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Toronto FC. Toronto FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with DC United expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Toronto FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Toronto FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
So far, DC United have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 18 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 21:25 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Louis Munteanu (5 goals), Tai Baribo (5 goals), Jackson Hopkins (2 goals), with creative support from Keisuke Kurokawa (3 assists), João Peglow (2 assists), Silvan Hefti (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 15 points from 15 games and a place of 12, Toronto FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 22:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Emilio Aristizábal (3 goals), Dániel Sallói (2 goals), Kobe Franklin (2 goals), with creative support from Dániel Sallói (2 assists), Kobe Franklin (2 assists), Jonathan Osorio (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, DC United won 5 times, Toronto FC won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:28 from DC United's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 14 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
DC United
8
7
5
3
4
3
Lineups
DC United
Charlotte
DC United
New England Revolution
DC United
CF Montreal
DC United
Nashville SC
DC United
Houston Dynamo
DC United
CF Montreal
DC United
St. Louis City
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Nashville SC
DC United
New York City FC
DC United
Orlando City SC
DC United
New York Red Bulls
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
New England Revolution
DC United
FC Dallas
DC United
Atlanta United FC
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Inter Miami
DC United
Austin
DC United
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
Charlotte
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
New York City FC
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
CF Montreal
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
Charlotte
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Austin
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Toronto FC
FC Dallas
DC United
New England Revolution
DC United
Nashville SC
DC United
CF Montreal
DC United
St. Louis City
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Orlando City SC
DC United
FC Dallas
DC United
Inter Miami
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Minnesota United FC
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
New York City FC
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
CF Montreal
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
Charlotte
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Toronto FC
FC Dallas
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43:17 | 26 | 49 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 49:40 | 9 | 39 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 36 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33:26 | 7 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38:32 | 6 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 49:47 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 27 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31:43 | -12 | 26 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 34:51 | -17 | 24 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Toronto FC
Away
|
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 31:37 | -6 | 24 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
DC United
Home
|
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 28:36 | -8 | 24 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
| 12 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 31:38 | -7 | 21 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 21 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 20 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 18 |
W
W
L
L
D
|