Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
DC United
St. Louis City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
DC United
16 matches
St. Louis City
16 matches
| DC United | Statistic | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 8 |
| 17 | Goals For | 16 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.69 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.92 | Shots On Goal | 4.25 |
| 11.54 | Total Shots | 13.25 |
| 4.54 | Corners | 6.08 |
| 39.2% | Ball Possession | 48.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward St. Louis City. DC United arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 16 points compared to St. Louis City in 14 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. St. Louis City arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with DC United expected to line up in 4-4-2 and St. Louis City in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St. Louis City having the stronger overall control.
DC United come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 16 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 15:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Baribo (6 goals), Louis Munteanu (4 goals), Jackson Hopkins (2 goals), with creative support from Peglow (3 assists), Keisuke Kurokawa (2 assists), S. Hefti (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
St. Louis City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 9 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 10:18 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Hartel (3 goals), B. McSorley (1 goals), Christopher Durkin (1 goals), with creative support from S. Becher (3 assists), D. Edelman (2 assists), L. MacNaughton (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, DC United won 0 times, St. Louis City won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from DC United's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
DC United
5
3
8
4
3
8
Lineups
DC United
CF Montreal
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Nashville SC
DC United
New York City FC
DC United
Orlando City SC
DC United
New York Red Bulls
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
New England Revolution
DC United
FC Dallas
DC United
Atlanta United FC
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Inter Miami
DC United
Austin
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Minnesota United FC
DC United
Portland Timbers
DC United
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
St. Louis City
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
San Diego
St. Louis City
Charlotte
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
DC United
CF Montreal
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Orlando City SC
DC United
FC Dallas
DC United
Inter Miami
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Minnesota United FC
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
St. Louis City
New York City FC
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
San Diego
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 20 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
DC United
Home
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 16 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | -21 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
D
|