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24.10.2026 23:30
Audi Field
Referee: J. Freemon
DC United
Match Timeline
FC Cincinnati
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Obinna Nwobodo
FC Cincinnati
🟨
34'
Tai Baribo
DC United
🔄
34'
J. Hopkins ↔ N. Markovic
DC United
⚽
35'
Evander · Assist: P. Bucha
FC Cincinnati
🟨
38'
Tom Barlow
FC Cincinnati
⚽
52'
T. Barlow · Assist: Evander
FC Cincinnati
🔄
59'
O. Nwobodo ↔ T. Anunga
FC Cincinnati
🔄
59'
K. Smith ↔ S. Gidi
FC Cincinnati
🔄
59'
T. Barlow ↔ K. Mboma
FC Cincinnati
🔄
65'
B. Servania ↔ J. Stroud
DC United
🔄
65'
S. Hefti ↔ O. Avilez
DC United
🔄
75'
D. Doudera ↔ A. Powell
FC Cincinnati
🔄
85'
P. Bucha ↔ G. Valenzuela
FC Cincinnati

DC United vs FC Cincinnati Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
DC United Win 52.4%
Draw 12.8%
FC Cincinnati Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
DC United1.53
FC Cincinnati2.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
DC United DC United
L L W L L
4 GF / 12 GA
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
W L L W L
8 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
2.23
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
2.1
20
BTTS Yes
28
20
Over 2.5
28
4.4
Shots on Goal
6.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

DC United DC United 34 matches
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 39 matches
DC United Statistic FC Cincinnati
7 Wins 15
14 Draws 11
13 Losses 13
39 Goals For 87
58 Goals Against 82
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 2.23
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 2.1
20 BTTS Yes 28
24 Over 1.5 36
20 Over 2.5 28
12 Over 3.5 24
8 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 5
4.4 Shots On Goal 6.15
13 Total Shots 15.12
5.1 Corners 5.09
38.8% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Cincinnati. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with DC United expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FC Cincinnati in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Cincinnati having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

DC United Analysis

DC United sit 12 with 33 points after 28 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 36:47 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Baribo (10 goals), Louis Munteanu (5 goals), L. Bartlett (4 goals), with creative support from K. Kurokawa (6 assists), Peglow (2 assists), S. Hefti (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Cincinnati Analysis

From their first 28 matches, FC Cincinnati have collected 36 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, while the 60:68 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Denkey (15 goals), Evander (10 goals), T. Barlow (7 goals), with creative support from Evander (7 assists), P. Bucha (4 assists), E. Echenique (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, DC United won 6 times, FC Cincinnati won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:16 from DC United's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: DC United 4-4-2 / FC Cincinnati 3-5-2
Missing players: DC United 4, FC Cincinnati 5
H2H summary: DC United wins 6, draws 4, FC Cincinnati wins 4

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 23 8 3 71:25 46 77
W W D W D
2 34 16 12 6 80:59 21 60
D W D L W
3 34 18 4 12 55:47 8 58
L L W W W
4 34 16 7 11 64:54 10 55
L W D W L
5 34 15 9 10 66:51 15 54
D W W L D
6 34 14 8 12 66:52 14 50
W L D L D
7 34 14 5 15 59:52 7 47
W W W W W
8 34 13 7 14 63:78 -15 46
W L D D W
9 34 12 10 12 67:75 -8 46
L W D W W
10 34 12 6 16 48:62 -14 42
W L L W L
11 34 10 12 12 49:45 4 42
W D W D D
12 34 9 12 13 52:67 -15 39
L L W L W
13 34 9 6 19 43:60 -17 33
L W L L L
14 34 7 12 15 39:61 -22 33
L L L L L
15 34 6 8 20 37:69 -32 26
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)