🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
09.09.2026 23:30
Audi Field
Referee: Muhammad Kaleia, USA
DC United
Match Timeline
Columbus Crew
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
T. Karumanchi
Columbus Crew
🟨
19'
C. Ruvalcaba
Columbus Crew
🟨
19'
Peglow
DC United
24'
T. Baribo · Assist: L. Munteanu
DC United
38'
T. Baribo · Assist: K. Nono
DC United
🔄
46'
T. Habroune ↔ B. Mendez
Columbus Crew
🔄
46'
C. Ruvalcaba ↔ S. Moreira
Columbus Crew
🔄
46'
J. Hopkins ↔ M. Peltola
DC United
49'
S. Rodriguez · Assist: J. Martinez
Columbus Crew
🟨
57'
K. Rowles
DC United
🔄
60'
J. Martinez ↔ G. Tapia
Columbus Crew
🔄
70'
D. Chambost ↔ A. Gomes
Columbus Crew
🔄
70'
L. Munteanu ↔ N. Ordaz
DC United
🔄
77'
T. Baribo ↔ B. Servania
DC United
🔄
81'
S. Rodriguez ↔ J. Thiare
Columbus Crew
🔄
90+2'
Peglow ↔ S. Nealis
DC United
🟨
90+5'
S. Johnson
DC United

DC United vs Columbus Crew Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.2%
Odds 2.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.2%
2.50
BTTS Yes
78.9%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.71
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
73%
1.33
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.50
Probability Distribution
DC United Win 62.2%
Draw 13.5%
Columbus Crew Win 24.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
DC United1.34
Columbus Crew1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
DC United DC United
WWDLW
29 GF / 40 GA
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WLDWL
39 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
14
BTTS Yes
19
13
Over 2.5
18
4.36
Shots on Goal
3.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

DC United DC United 25 matches
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 26 matches
DC United Statistic Columbus Crew
5 Wins 7
12 Draws 6
8 Losses 13
29 Goals For 39
40 Goals Against 42
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
14 BTTS Yes 19
17 Over 1.5 23
13 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 4
4.36 Shots On Goal 3.74
12.64 Total Shots 11.04
5 Corners 4.91
39.4% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Columbus Crew. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Columbus Crew arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

DC United Analysis

DC United are currently 11 in the standings with 25 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 28:36 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tai Baribo (7 goals), Louis Munteanu (5 goals), Jackson Hopkins (2 goals), with creative support from Keisuke Kurokawa (4 assists), João Peglow (2 assists), Silvan Hefti (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Columbus Crew Analysis

With 20 points from 22 games and a place of 15, Columbus Crew still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 31:39, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Diego Rossi (4 goals), Maximilian Arfsten (3 goals), Dániel Gazdag (3 goals), with creative support from Mohamed Farsi (3 assists), Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), Hugo Picard (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, DC United won 4 times, Columbus Crew won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:28 from DC United's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.5%)
Predicted formations: DC United 4-4-2 / Columbus Crew 4-4-2
Missing players: DC United 2, Columbus Crew 4
H2H summary: DC United wins 4, draws 4, Columbus Crew wins 7

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 50:21 29 54
D L D W W
2 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
3 25 13 4 8 41:31 10 43
W W L W D
4 25 11 7 7 45:36 9 40
D W D W W
5 24 11 6 7 45:35 10 39
L D D D D
6 25 10 4 11 44:56 -12 34
W W W D W
7 25 8 8 9 39:33 6 32
W L D D D
8 24 8 8 8 52:59 -7 32
D L L D W
9 24 8 6 10 41:39 2 30
W W W D D
10 25 8 6 11 33:48 -15 30
W L D L D
11 24 6 11 7 30:37 -7 29
D W D L L
12 25 6 11 8 38:46 -8 29
L W D D W
13 25 6 5 14 35:42 -7 23
L L W L L
14 25 6 5 14 29:43 -14 23
D L D L W
15 25 5 6 14 31:51 -20 21
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)