Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
73.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
84.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
86.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
DC United
Chicago Fire
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
DC United
15 matches
Chicago Fire
17 matches
| DC United | Statistic | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 16 | Goals For | 29 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.75 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 11.42 | Total Shots | 15.18 |
| 4.33 | Corners | 4.55 |
| 39% | Ball Possession | 53.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Chicago Fire's more proactive style and DC United's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Chicago Fire. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with DC United expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Chicago Fire in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chicago Fire having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
DC United arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 16 points after 12 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 15:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Baribo (6 goals), Louis Munteanu (4 goals), Jackson Hopkins (2 goals), with creative support from Peglow (3 assists), Keisuke Kurokawa (2 assists), S. Hefti (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without H. Karamoko, G. Segal, S. Nealis, S. Hefti, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Chicago Fire arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 17 points after 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Cuypers (11 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (4 goals), J. Bamba (2 goals), with creative support from J. Bamba (2 assists), Philip Zinckernagel (1 assists), A. Gutman (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Franco, S. Rogers, L. Barroso unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, DC United won 5 times, Chicago Fire won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:22 from DC United's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
DC United
6
8
4
6
3
1
Lineups
DC United
Houston Dynamo
DC United
CF Montreal
DC United
St. Louis City
DC United
Nashville SC
DC United
New York City FC
DC United
Orlando City SC
DC United
New York Red Bulls
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
New England Revolution
DC United
FC Dallas
DC United
Atlanta United FC
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Inter Miami
DC United
Austin
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Minnesota United FC
DC United
Portland Timbers
DC United
Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Austin
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
DC United
CF Montreal
DC United
St. Louis City
DC United
Orlando City SC
DC United
FC Dallas
DC United
Inter Miami
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Minnesota United FC
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Austin
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City