🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
13.05.2026 23:30
Audi Field
Referee: Ricardo Fierro, USA
DC United
Match Timeline
Chicago Fire
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Dje Tah D'Avilla
Chicago Fire
41'
T. Baribo
DC United
🟨
48'
Jonathan Bamba
Chicago Fire
🔄
62'
J. Bamba ↔ P. Dithejane
Chicago Fire
62'
R. Lod · Assist: P. Zinckernagel
Chicago Fire
🔄
63'
R. Lod ↔ M. Haile-Selassie
Chicago Fire
🔄
64'
T. Baribo ↔ J. Stroud
DC United
71'
Philip Zinckernagel
Chicago Fire
71'
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
🟨
75'
Jack Elliott
Chicago Fire
🔄
87'
J. Hopkins ↔ J. Murrell
DC United
87'
M. Haile-Selassie
Chicago Fire
🟨
89'
Jonathan Dean
Chicago Fire
🟨
90+6'
Andrew Gutman
Chicago Fire
🔄
90+4'
P. Zinckernagel ↔ C. Mueller
Chicago Fire
🔄
90+4'
H. Cuypers ↔ J. Shokalook
Chicago Fire

DC United vs Chicago Fire Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 73.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 86.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
73.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
86.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
DC United Win 35.5%
Draw 26.6%
Chicago Fire Win 37.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
DC United1.16
Chicago Fire1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
DC United DC United
WWDLW
16 GF / 21 GA
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
WLDWL
29 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
6
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
11
3.75
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

DC United DC United 15 matches
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 17 matches
DC United Statistic Chicago Fire
4 Wins 7
6 Draws 5
5 Losses 5
16 Goals For 29
21 Goals Against 22
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
6 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 3
3.75 Shots On Goal 5
11.42 Total Shots 15.18
4.33 Corners 4.55
39% Ball Possession 53.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Chicago Fire's more proactive style and DC United's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Chicago Fire. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with DC United expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Chicago Fire in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chicago Fire having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

DC United Analysis

DC United arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 16 points after 12 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 15:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Baribo (6 goals), Louis Munteanu (4 goals), Jackson Hopkins (2 goals), with creative support from Peglow (3 assists), Keisuke Kurokawa (2 assists), S. Hefti (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without H. Karamoko, G. Segal, S. Nealis, S. Hefti, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

Chicago Fire Analysis

Chicago Fire arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 17 points after 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Cuypers (11 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (4 goals), J. Bamba (2 goals), with creative support from J. Bamba (2 assists), Philip Zinckernagel (1 assists), A. Gutman (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Franco, S. Rogers, L. Barroso unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, DC United won 5 times, Chicago Fire won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:22 from DC United's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.4%)
Predicted formations: DC United 4-4-2 / Chicago Fire 4-2-3-1
Missing players: DC United 3, Chicago Fire 6
H2H summary: DC United wins 5, draws 5, Chicago Fire wins 5

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 50:21 29 54
D L D W W
2 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
3 25 13 4 8 41:31 10 43
W W L W D
4 25 11 7 7 45:36 9 40
D W D W W
5 24 11 6 7 45:35 10 39
L D D D D
6 25 10 4 11 44:56 -12 34
W W W D W
7 25 9 6 10 46:39 7 33
W W W W D
8 25 8 8 9 39:33 6 32
W L D D D
9 24 8 8 8 52:59 -7 32
D L L D W
10 25 8 6 11 33:48 -15 30
W L D L D
11 24 6 11 7 30:37 -7 29
D W D L L
12 25 6 11 8 38:46 -8 29
L W D D W
13 25 6 5 14 35:42 -7 23
L L W L L
14 25 6 5 14 29:43 -14 23
D L D L W
15 25 5 6 14 31:51 -20 21
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)