🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
19.09.2026 23:30
Audi Field

DC United vs Charlotte Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
DC United Win 31.5%
Draw 13.1%
Charlotte Win 55.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
DC United1.23
Charlotte1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
DC United DC United
WWDLW
31 GF / 41 GA
Charlotte Charlotte
WLDWL
51 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
15
BTTS Yes
19
14
Over 2.5
19
4.21
Shots on Goal
4.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

DC United DC United 27 matches
Charlotte Charlotte 29 matches
DC United Statistic Charlotte
6 Wins 14
13 Draws 7
8 Losses 8
31 Goals For 51
41 Goals Against 39
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.34
15 BTTS Yes 19
18 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 19
9 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 6
4.21 Shots On Goal 4.88
12.17 Total Shots 11.36
4.88 Corners 4.52
38.5% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Charlotte's more proactive style and DC United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Charlotte.

DC United Analysis

DC United sit 11 with 28 points after 23 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses, while the 30:37 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Baribo (9 goals), L. Munteanu (5 goals), J. Hopkins (2 goals), with creative support from K. Kurokawa (4 assists), Peglow (2 assists), S. Hefti (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Charlotte Analysis

Charlotte approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 39 points after 24 outings. With 11 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 42:33, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by I. Toklomati Giorno (5 goals), Pep Biel (4 goals), L. Abada (3 goals), with creative support from Pep Biel (4 assists), Kerwin Calderón Vargas (4 assists), A. Saint-Maximin (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, DC United won 2 times, Charlotte won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from DC United's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: DC United 4-3-3 / Charlotte 4-3-3
H2H summary: DC United wins 2, draws 2, Charlotte wins 7

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 50:21 29 54
D L D W W
2 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
3 25 13 4 8 41:31 10 43
W W L W D
4 25 11 7 7 45:36 9 40
D W D W W
5 24 11 6 7 45:35 10 39
L D D D D
6 25 10 4 11 44:56 -12 34
W W W D W
7 25 9 6 10 46:39 7 33
W W W W D
8 25 8 8 9 39:33 6 32
W L D D D
9 24 8 8 8 52:59 -7 32
D L L D W
10 25 8 6 11 33:48 -15 30
W L D L D
11 24 6 11 7 30:37 -7 29
D W D L L
12 25 6 11 8 38:46 -8 29
L W D D W
13 25 6 5 14 35:42 -7 23
L L W L L
14 25 6 5 14 29:43 -14 23
D L D L W
15 25 5 6 14 31:51 -20 21
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)