🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
23.05.2026 23:30
Audi Field
Referee: Filip Dujic, USA
DC United
Match Timeline
CF Montreal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
L. Munteanu
DC United
28'
J. Stroud
DC United
🟨
31'
Olger Escobar
CF Montreal
45'
P. Owusu
CF Montreal
🔄
46'
D. Bugaj ↔ D. Thorhallsson
CF Montreal
🔄
46'
O. Escobar ↔ D. Rios
CF Montreal
VAR
49'
Lucas Bartlett
DC United
51'
T. Baribo
DC United
61'
P. Owusu · Assist: W. Carmona
CF Montreal
🟨
62'
Brandon Servania
DC United
🟨
62'
Daniel Rios
CF Montreal
🔄
67'
J. Stroud ↔ J. Hopkins
DC United
🔄
67'
T. Baribo ↔ N. Markovic
DC United
🔄
67'
N. Streit ↔ G. Synchuk
CF Montreal
VAR
76'
Efraín Morales
CF Montreal
🔄
78'
S. Hefti ↔ C. Antley
DC United
87'
L. Bartlett · Assist: K. Kurokawa
DC United
🟨
90+10'
Lucas Bartlett
DC United
🟨
90+11'
Matthew Longstaff
CF Montreal
🟨
90+11'
Prince Owusu
CF Montreal
🟨
90+7'
Victor Loturi
CF Montreal
VAR
90+2'
Prince Owusu
CF Montreal
🔄
90+10'
L. Munteanu ↔ H. Kijima
DC United
90'
P. Owusu
CF Montreal
90'
G. Synchuk · Assist: P. Owusu
CF Montreal

DC United vs CF Montreal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
DC United Win 47.1%
Draw 23.4%
CF Montreal Win 29.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
DC United1.48
CF Montreal1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
DC United DC United
WWDLW
18 GF / 25 GA
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WLDWL
28 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
2.11
8
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
14
4
Shots on Goal
4.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

DC United DC United 17 matches
CF Montreal CF Montreal 18 matches
DC United Statistic CF Montreal
4 Wins 6
7 Draws 1
6 Losses 11
18 Goals For 28
25 Goals Against 38
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 2.11
8 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 4.69
11.86 Total Shots 13
4.57 Corners 5.23
39.4% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward CF Montreal. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with DC United expected to line up in 4-4-2 and CF Montreal in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CF Montreal having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

DC United Analysis

So far, DC United have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 17 points from 14 matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 17:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Baribo (7 goals), Louis Munteanu (4 goals), Jackson Hopkins (2 goals), with creative support from Peglow (3 assists), Keisuke Kurokawa (2 assists), S. Hefti (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

CF Montreal Analysis

CF Montreal sit 12 with 13 points after 13 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 18:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Owusu (6 goals), W. Carmona (4 goals), M. Longstaff (3 goals), with creative support from P. Owusu (3 assists), M. Longstaff (3 assists), W. Carmona (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, DC United won 4 times, CF Montreal won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:20 from DC United's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.7%)
Predicted formations: DC United 4-4-2 / CF Montreal 4-3-3
Missing players: DC United 2, CF Montreal 3
H2H summary: DC United wins 4, draws 6, CF Montreal wins 5

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 50:21 29 54
D L D W W
2 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
3 25 13 4 8 41:31 10 43
W W L W D
4 25 11 7 7 45:36 9 40
D W D W W
5 24 11 6 7 45:35 10 39
L D D D D
6 25 10 4 11 44:56 -12 34
W W W D W
7 25 9 6 10 46:39 7 33
W W W W D
8 25 8 8 9 39:33 6 32
W L D D D
9 24 8 8 8 52:59 -7 32
D L L D W
10 25 8 6 11 33:48 -15 30
W L D L D
11 24 6 11 7 30:37 -7 29
D W D L L
12 25 6 11 8 38:46 -8 29
L W D D W
13 25 6 5 14 35:42 -7 23
L L W L L
14 25 6 5 14 29:43 -14 23
D L D L W
15 25 5 6 14 31:51 -20 21
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)