DC United vs Atlanta United FC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
72%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.62 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.25 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
DC United
Atlanta United FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
DC United
26 matches
Atlanta United FC
28 matches
| DC United | Statistic | Atlanta United FC |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 12 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 14 |
| 31 | Goals For | 37 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.39 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 12.52 | Total Shots | 12.75 |
| 4.91 | Corners | 4.96 |
| 38.9% | Ball Possession | 50.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with DC United expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Atlanta United FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atlanta United FC having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Atlanta United FC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
So far, DC United have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 25 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 28:36 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tai Baribo (7 goals), Louis Munteanu (5 goals), Jackson Hopkins (2 goals), with creative support from Keisuke Kurokawa (4 assists), João Peglow (2 assists), Silvan Hefti (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Atlanta United FC are currently 13 in the standings with 21 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 25:38 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Saba Lobzhanidze (2 goals), Miguel Almirón (2 goals), Ajani Fortune (2 goals), with creative support from Aleksey Miranchuk (3 assists), Saba Lobzhanidze (2 assists), Elías Báez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, DC United won 2 times, Atlanta United FC won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:27 from DC United's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 48:19 | 29 | 53 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 59:44 | 15 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 39:30 | 9 | 40 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 44:33 | 11 | 39 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:33 | 9 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 41:56 | -15 | 31 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 49:56 | -7 | 31 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 37:33 | 4 | 29 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 38:43 | -5 | 29 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
DC United
Home
|
23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 32:48 | -16 | 27 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 35:41 | -6 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Atlanta United FC
Away
|
24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29:43 | -14 | 22 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 15 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 31:50 | -19 | 21 |
L
L
L
D
W
|