KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Darajani Gogo Win 35.9%
Draw 4.2%
MOFA Win 59.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Darajani Gogo0.67
MOFA1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Darajani Gogo Darajani Gogo
WWDLW
20 GF / 44 GA
MOFA MOFA
WLDWL
48 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.59
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
9
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Darajani Gogo Darajani Gogo 34 matches
MOFA MOFA 34 matches
Darajani Gogo Statistic MOFA
8 Wins 16
7 Draws 12
19 Losses 6
20 Goals For 48
44 Goals Against 27
0.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
9 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 19
10 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 8
12 Clean Sheets 13
17 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around MOFA's more proactive style and Darajani Gogo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. MOFA carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 60 points while Darajani Gogo sit 16 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Darajani Gogo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward MOFA. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MOFA having the stronger overall control.

Darajani Gogo Analysis

With 31 points from 34 games and a place of 16, Darajani Gogo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 20:44 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

MOFA Analysis

Placed 5 with 60 points from 34 outings, MOFA continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 16 wins, 12 draws, and 6 losses, while the 48:27 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Darajani Gogo won 1 times, MOFA won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:2 from Darajani Gogo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Darajani Gogo wins 1, draws 2, MOFA wins 1
Last matches: Darajani Gogo
01.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
23.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
16.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
0
3
L
09.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Equity Bank
0
4
L
03.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
25.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MCF
0
0
D
19.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
0
2
L
11.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Fortune Sacco
0
4
L
29.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Soy United
0
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
3K
1
1
D
14.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Talanta
1
1
D
07.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
01.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Migori Youth
1
2
L
20.02.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
2
2
D
31.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Talanta
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Fortune Sacco
2
4
L
18.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kabati Youth FC
0
1
L
12.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
1
4
L
Last matches: MOFA
01.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
16.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Gucha Stars
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Migori Youth
0
1
L
02.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Talanta
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Mwatate United
3
2
W
18.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
0
0
D
14.04.26
Sup
MOFA
MCF
3
0
W
10.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
04.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
21.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
15.03.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
1
0
W
27.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
4
2
W
11.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
1
1
D
H2H: Darajani Gogo vs MOFA
28.05.26
H2H
Darajani Gogo
MOFA
1
1
D
25.10.25
H2H
MOFA
Darajani Gogo
0
0
D
30.04.25
H2H
Darajani Gogo
MOFA
4
0
W
11.01.25
H2H
MOFA
Darajani Gogo
1
0
L
Last matches: Darajani Gogo
23.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Equity Bank
0
4
L
25.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MCF
0
0
D
11.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
3K
1
1
D
07.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
20.02.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
31.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Talanta
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Fortune Sacco
2
4
L
12.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
1
4
L
07.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
13.12.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
03.12.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
1
0
W
30.11.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Migori Youth
1
2
L
26.11.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Soy United
1
0
W
16.11.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
0
0
D
30.10.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
H2H at home: Darajani Gogo
28.05.26
H2H
Darajani Gogo
MOFA
1
1
D
30.04.25
H2H
Darajani Gogo
MOFA
4
0
W
Last matches: MOFA
24.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Migori Youth
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
0
0
D
04.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
15.03.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
0
1
L
27.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
4
2
W
21.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Mwatate United
4
0
W
13.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Talanta
0
0
D
03.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Gucha Stars
3
2
W
22.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
0
0
D
08.11.25
Sup
MOFA
MCF
0
1
L
30.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
12.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
05.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
H2H away: MOFA
28.05.26
H2H
Darajani Gogo
MOFA
1
1
D
30.04.25
H2H
Darajani Gogo
MOFA
4
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 24 5 7 54:27 27 77
W W W L W
2 36 22 7 7 58:25 33 73
W D D W W
3 36 23 3 10 49:31 18 72
L D W W L
4 36 20 11 5 53:26 27 71
W W D D W
5
MOFA Away
36 16 14 6 50:29 21 62
D D L W L
6 36 17 9 10 45:27 18 60
W W W W D
7 36 16 9 11 57:41 16 57
L L L W L
8 36 15 9 12 46:37 9 54
L W W W W
9 36 15 8 13 31:30 1 53
D D L L D
10 36 13 9 14 30:27 3 48
L D W L D
11 36 11 14 11 36:35 1 47
W L L L D
12 36 12 6 18 29:49 -20 42
W L L W D
13 36 11 8 17 32:38 -6 41
W L W L D
14 36 9 12 15 31:36 -5 39
L D D L L
15 36 9 9 18 21:45 -24 36
L D W D D
16 36 9 8 19 29:50 -21 35
W W L L D
17 36 8 8 20 22:47 -25 32
L D W L L
18 36 8 10 18 22:38 -16 31
W L D W L
19 36 9 8 19 28:53 -25 29
L W L W W
20 36 6 7 23 27:59 -32 25
L L L L D