KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 89.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 82.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
89.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
82.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Darajani Gogo Win 10.8%
Draw 0%
Equity Bank Win 89.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Darajani Gogo0.7
Equity Bank1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Darajani Gogo Darajani Gogo
WWDLW
19 GF / 37 GA
Equity Bank Equity Bank
WLDWL
44 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.61
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
9
BTTS Yes
15
8
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Darajani Gogo Darajani Gogo 31 matches
Equity Bank Equity Bank 31 matches
Darajani Gogo Statistic Equity Bank
7 Wins 17
7 Draws 9
17 Losses 5
19 Goals For 44
37 Goals Against 26
0.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
9 BTTS Yes 15
14 Over 1.5 21
8 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 13
15 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Equity Bank's more proactive style and Darajani Gogo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Equity Bank. Equity Bank carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 60 points while Darajani Gogo sit 16 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Equity Bank having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Darajani Gogo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Darajani Gogo Analysis

Darajani Gogo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 28 points from 31 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 19:37, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Equity Bank Analysis

Equity Bank come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 60 points after 31 matches. They have recorded 17 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, with a 44:26 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Darajani Gogo won 0 times, Equity Bank won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:6 from Darajani Gogo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Darajani Gogo wins 0, draws 0, Equity Bank wins 2
Last matches: Darajani Gogo
13.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nairobi City Stars
3
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
01.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
28.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MOFA
1
1
D
23.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
16.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
0
3
L
03.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
25.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MCF
0
0
D
19.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
0
2
L
11.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Fortune Sacco
0
4
L
29.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Soy United
0
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
3K
1
1
D
14.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Talanta
1
1
D
07.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
01.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Migori Youth
1
2
L
20.02.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
2
2
D
31.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Talanta
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Fortune Sacco
2
4
L
Last matches: Equity Bank
13.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
2
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Migori Youth
1
2
L
01.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Soy United
1
0
W
27.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Fortune Sacco
4
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
3K
0
0
D
17.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
03.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Vihiga United FC
4
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MOFA
0
0
D
12.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Gucha Stars
1
1
D
03.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
2
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
25.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MCF
3
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
14.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Naivas
1
1
D
31.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
0
0
D
H2H: Darajani Gogo vs Equity Bank
09.05.26
H2H
Darajani Gogo
Equity Bank
0
4
L
17.12.25
H2H
Equity Bank
Darajani Gogo
2
0
L
Last matches: Darajani Gogo
07.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
28.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MOFA
1
1
D
23.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MCF
0
0
D
11.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
3K
1
1
D
07.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
20.02.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
31.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Talanta
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Fortune Sacco
2
4
L
12.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
1
4
L
07.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
13.12.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
03.12.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
1
0
W
30.11.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Migori Youth
1
2
L
26.11.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Soy United
1
0
W
16.11.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
0
0
D
30.10.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
H2H at home: Darajani Gogo
09.05.26
H2H
Darajani Gogo
Equity Bank
0
4
L
Last matches: Equity Bank
07.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Migori Youth
1
2
L
27.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Fortune Sacco
4
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
3K
0
0
D
26.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Vihiga United FC
4
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Gucha Stars
1
1
D
25.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MCF
3
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Naivas
1
1
D
24.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
0
0
D
11.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MOFA
1
1
D
07.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Soy United
1
2
L
12.12.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Nairobi City Stars
0
2
L
03.12.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
22.11.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
09.11.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
28.10.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
2
2
D
28.09.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
H2H away: Equity Bank
09.05.26
H2H
Darajani Gogo
Equity Bank
0
4
W

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation