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15.11.2026 19:30

Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 78.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
78.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Danubio Win 21.4%
Draw 27.6%
Liverpool Montevideo Win 51.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Danubio0.85
Liverpool Montevideo1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Danubio Danubio
L L W L W
5 GF / 6 GA
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
W W W D W
8 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
17
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
15
1.63
Shots on Goal
2.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Danubio Danubio 35 matches
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 37 matches
Danubio Statistic Liverpool Montevideo
6 Wins 16
14 Draws 12
15 Losses 9
29 Goals For 48
45 Goals Against 33
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
17 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 23
14 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 18
15 Failed To Score 9
1.63 Shots On Goal 2.8
5.38 Total Shots 6.3
2.25 Corners 2.9
29.9% Ball Possession 36.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Liverpool Montevideo's more proactive style and Danubio's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Danubio expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Liverpool Montevideo in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Liverpool Montevideo having the stronger overall control. Liverpool Montevideo look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Liverpool Montevideo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 59 points while Danubio sit 16 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Liverpool Montevideo.

Danubio Analysis

Danubio approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 32 points from 35 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 14 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 29:45 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Liverpool Montevideo Analysis

Liverpool Montevideo are currently 6 in the standings with 59 points from 35 matches. Their overall return of 16 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 47:31 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (78.6%)
Predicted formations: Danubio 4-3-1-2 / Liverpool Montevideo 3-4-1-2

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 19 9 7 52:28 24 65
D D L D W
2 35 18 9 8 54:32 22 63
D W L D W
3 35 19 6 10 59:41 18 63
W W L W L
4 35 19 4 12 53:42 11 61
W L W W W
5 35 16 12 7 45:31 14 60
W D W L L
6 35 16 11 8 47:31 16 59
W W W D W
7 35 14 9 12 42:44 -2 51
D L L L W
8 35 13 8 14 47:44 3 47
D W W W W
9 35 10 11 14 37:43 -6 41
L D L W D
10 35 11 8 16 35:48 -13 41
W L L L L
11 35 9 12 14 35:43 -8 39
W D L L L
12 35 9 10 16 33:41 -8 37
L W D L L
13 35 10 7 18 34:47 -13 37
L L W W D
14 35 10 7 18 29:53 -24 37
L L D W L
15 35 10 5 20 31:49 -18 35
L W W D L
16 35 6 14 15 29:45 -16 32
L L W L W
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