Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw |
34.4%
|
3.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
2.27 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
1.65 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-2 |
-
|
17.00 |
Danubio
Juventud
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Danubio
18 matches
Juventud
24 matches
| Danubio | Statistic | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 12 |
| 19 | Goals For | 30 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.54 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 13.5 |
| 0 | Corners | 4.33 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 51% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Juventud. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Danubio expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Juventud in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventud having the stronger overall control. Danubio have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Danubio approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 19 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 19:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Cabrera (4 goals), S. Fernandez (4 goals), M. Ferreira (3 goals), with creative support from M. Jourdan (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Juventud approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 18 points from 18 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 22:29, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Mimbacas (6 goals), Alejo Cruz (3 goals), Ramiro Peralta (3 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Danubio won 8 times, Juventud won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:17 from Danubio's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Central Espanol
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Penarol
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Boston River
Juventud
Cerro
Juventud
Albion FC
Juventud
Danubio
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Club Guarani
Juventud
Central Espanol
Juventud
Club Guarani
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
CA River Plate
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Miramar
Danubio
Juventud
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Penarol
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Cerro
Juventud
Danubio
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Club Guarani
Juventud
Atletico Torque
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Boston River
Juventud
Penarol
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Danubio
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Danubio
Home
|
18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 14 |
Juventud
Away
|
18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 18 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|