Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
75.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
60.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
- |
Danubio
Club Nacional
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Danubio
19 matches
Club Nacional
25 matches
| Danubio | Statistic | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 12 |
| 8 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 10 |
| 20 | Goals For | 38 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 9.83 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 39.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Club Nacional's more proactive style and Danubio's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Club Nacional look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Club Nacional. Club Nacional carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 31 points while Danubio sit 13 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Danubio approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 19 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 19:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Cabrera (4 goals), S. Fernandez (4 goals), M. Ferreira (3 goals), with creative support from M. Jourdan (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 5 place with 31 points from 19 games, Club Nacional bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 31:26, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Gomez (11 goals), T. Veron (4 goals), Agustín Rogel (2 goals), with creative support from T. Veron (1 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Danubio won 4 times, Club Nacional won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:21 from Danubio's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Lineups
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Central Espanol
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Cerro
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Juventud
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Cerro
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
CA River Plate
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Miramar
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Rampla Juniors
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Juventud
Club Nacional
Progreso
Club Nacional
Boston River
Club Nacional
Penarol
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Cerro
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Juventud
Club Nacional
Plaza Colonia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 31 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 28 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 27 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Club Nacional
Away
|
15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 22 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Danubio
Home
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
W
|