Danubio vs Cerro Largo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
77.6%
|
1.73 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
1.60 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.15 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
6.50 |
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Danubio
30 matches
Cerro Largo
30 matches
| Danubio | Statistic | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 8 |
| 14 | Draws | 9 |
| 12 | Losses | 13 |
| 24 | Goals For | 28 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.93 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cerro Largo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Cerro Largo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Danubio expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Cerro Largo in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cerro Largo having the stronger overall control.
Danubio sit 16 with 26 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 14 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 24:38 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Cerro Largo sit 11 with 33 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 28:34, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Danubio won 0 times, Cerro Largo won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Danubio's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 15 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 9 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
Cerro Largo
Away
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 9 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Danubio
Home
|
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
D
L
D
D
D
|