AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL
01.08.2026 09:00
George Andrews Reserve
Dandenong Thunder
Match Timeline
Dandenong City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
P. Waring
Dandenong City
86'
G. Inaba
Dandenong City
88'
W. Dekker
Dandenong City

Dandenong Thunder vs Dandenong City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dandenong Thunder Win 28.3%
Draw 20.5%
Dandenong City Win 51.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dandenong Thunder1.16
Dandenong City1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder
WWDLW
23 GF / 48 GA
Dandenong City Dandenong City
WLDWL
27 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.23
2.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
12
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 22 matches
Dandenong City Dandenong City 22 matches
Dandenong Thunder Statistic Dandenong City
4 Wins 7
3 Draws 6
15 Losses 9
23 Goals For 27
48 Goals Against 29
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
2.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
12 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dandenong City. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dandenong City having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Dandenong Thunder have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Dandenong Thunder Analysis

With 15 points from 22 games and a place of 13, Dandenong Thunder still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 23:48, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dandenong City Analysis

So far, Dandenong City have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 27 points from 22 matches. The record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 27:29 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Dandenong Thunder won 7 times, Dandenong City won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from Dandenong Thunder's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.5%)
H2H summary: Dandenong Thunder wins 7, draws 4, Dandenong City wins 2

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 6 4 56:24 32 54
W L W W D
2 26 15 6 5 41:19 22 51
L D D W W
3 26 15 4 7 51:36 15 49
L L W W W
4 26 15 2 9 65:34 31 47
W W W W L
5 26 13 2 11 39:36 3 41
L W L L W
6 26 11 7 8 42:34 8 40
L W W L L
7 26 9 11 6 35:34 1 38
W L W D D
8 26 10 7 9 35:31 4 37
W D W W D
9 26 9 7 10 36:43 -7 34
W W D L W
10 26 8 6 12 42:42 0 30
L L L L L
11 26 7 7 12 28:42 -14 28
D L L D W
12 26 6 6 14 27:51 -24 24
L W D D L
13 26 4 6 16 23:52 -29 18
W L L D D
14 26 4 3 19 23:65 -42 15
L L L L L