SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Referee: M. Al Huwaish
Damac
Match Timeline
Al Okhdood
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
Arielson · Assist: V. Vada
Damac
VAR
35'
Khaled Al-Lazam
Al Okhdood
🟨
43'
Mateo Borrell
Al Okhdood
🔄
46'
J. Pedroza ↔ B. Ince
Al Okhdood
🔄
46'
K. Al Lazam ↔ A. Al Hatila
Al Okhdood
🔄
59'
H. Al Zabdani ↔ M. Abu Abd
Al Okhdood
🟨
74'
Nawaf Al Sadi
Damac
🟨
74'
Tariq Mohammed
Damac
🔄
74'
Arielson ↔ N. Al Saadi
Damac
🔄
81'
M. Borrell ↔ S. Al Abbas
Al Okhdood
🔄
82'
J. Okita ↔ D. Al Anazi
Damac
🔄
87'
Y. Meite ↔ K. Al Samiri
Damac
88'
V. Vada
Damac

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Damac Win 76%
Draw 0%
Al Okhdood Win 24%
Expected Goals (xG)
Damac1.38
Al Okhdood1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Damac Damac
WWDLW
25 GF / 46 GA
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood
WLDWL
23 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
0.82
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
2.11
18
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
15
2.89
Shots on Goal
3.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Damac Damac 28 matches
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 28 matches
Damac Statistic Al Okhdood
4 Wins 4
11 Draws 4
13 Losses 20
25 Goals For 23
46 Goals Against 59
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 2.11
18 BTTS Yes 14
24 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 12
2.89 Shots On Goal 3.04
10.43 Total Shots 8.11
4.25 Corners 3.61
47.3% Ball Possession 41.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Damac expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Al Okhdood in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Okhdood having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Al Okhdood. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Al Okhdood arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Damac Analysis

Damac sit 15 with 23 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 25:46, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through V. Vada (10 goals), Yakou Méïté (4 goals), J. Harkass (3 goals), with creative support from Abdulrahman Al-Obaid (4 assists), V. Vada (3 assists), D. Al Anazi (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Okhdood Analysis

Al Okhdood approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 16 points from 28 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 23:59 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Al Hatila (3 goals), C. Bassogog (3 goals), K. Narey (3 goals), with creative support from C. Bassogog (4 assists), G. Gul (3 assists), Ali Al-Salem (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Damac won 5 times, Al Okhdood won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:2 from Damac's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Damac 4-2-3-1 / Al Okhdood 4-4-2
H2H summary: Damac wins 5, draws 1, Al Okhdood wins 0
Stats
Damac Damac
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 4
18 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 2
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 9
4 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
383 Total passes 433
322 Passes accurate 361
1.55 expected_goals 0.74
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Damac
Formation
Al Okhdood
Kewin
Kewin
S. Al Hawsawi
S. Al Hawsawi
J. Harkass
J. Harkass
A. Bedrane
A. Bedrane
A. Al Obaid
A. Al Obaid
M. Sylla
M. Sylla
T. Abdullah
T. Abdullah
V. Vada
🎯
V. Vada
Y. Meite
Y. Meite
Arielson
Arielson
J. Okita
J. Okita
Samuel Portugal
Samuel Portugal
H. Al Zabdani
H. Al Zabdani
S. Al Rubaie
S. Al Rubaie
K. Gunter
K. Gunter
M. Fagihy
M. Fagihy
M. Borrell
M. Borrell
J. Pedroza
J. Pedroza
G. Gul
G. Gul
K. Narey
K. Narey
C. Bassogog
C. Bassogog
K. Al Lazam
K. Al Lazam
Damac 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Kewin
G
12
S. Al Hawsawi
D
15
J. Harkass
D
3
A. Bedrane
D
13
A. Al Obaid
D
2
M. Sylla
M
6
T. Abdullah
🟨 74'
M
8
V. Vada
⚽ 88' 🎯 18'
M
11
Y. Meite
↓ 87'
F
99
Arielson
⚽ 18' ↓ 74'
F
14
J. Okita
↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
30
N. Al Ghamdi
G
26
R. Sharahili
M
5
H. Rabea
D
20
D. Al Anazi
↑ 82'
D
88
K. Al Samiri
↑ 87'
80
Y. Naji
F
90
H. Al Ghamdi
F
18
N. Al Saadi
↑ 74' 🟨 74'
M
22
A. R. Al Khaibre
Al Okhdood 4-4-2
Starting XI
94
Samuel Portugal
G
8
H. Al Zabdani
↓ 59'
D
4
S. Al Rubaie
22
K. Gunter
D
42
M. Fagihy
D
55
M. Borrell
↓ 81' 🟨 43'
M
18
J. Pedroza
↓ 46'
M
17
G. Gul
M
7
K. Narey
M
13
C. Bassogog
F
99
K. Al Lazam
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
R. Al Najjar
G
14
S. Al Abbas
↑ 81'
F
11
B. Ince
↑ 46'
F
20
S. M. Al Harthi
12
A. Al Hatila
↑ 46'
M
10
M. Al Jahif
M
98
M. Al Qaydhi
D
15
N. Asiri
D
21
M. Abu Abd
↑ 59'
Last matches: Damac
21.05.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Nassr
1
4
L
15.05.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Fayha
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Ittihad FC
1
2
L
02.05.26
Pro
Damac
Al Khaleej Saihat
0
2
L
28.04.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
1
L
09.04.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
3
L
12.03.26
Pro
Damac
Al Najma
3
1
W
05.03.26
Pro
Damac
Al Riyadh
3
0
W
26.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Fateh
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al Shabab
1
3
L
12.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al Taawon
2
1
W
06.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Ettifaq
0
2
L
03.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al Kholood
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pro
Damac
NEOM
0
3
L
26.01.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Hazm
1
2
L
21.01.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Nassr
1
2
L
17.01.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Fayha
1
1
D
13.01.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Ittihad FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Al Okhdood
21.05.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al Riyadh
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al Khaleej Saihat
3
1
W
12.05.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al Kholood
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
4
L
30.04.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Ettifaq
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Nassr
0
2
L
05.04.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Fateh
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al Shabab
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Fayha
0
5
L
28.02.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al Najma
3
1
W
23.02.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Fateh
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2
4
L
12.02.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Hazm
1
2
L
05.02.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
6
L
02.02.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
NEOM
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al Taawon
0
1
L
26.01.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Ittihad FC
1
2
L
21.01.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al Riyadh
2
2
D
16.01.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
4
L
13.01.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al Kholood
1
0
W
H2H: Damac vs Al Okhdood
23.04.26
H2H
Damac
Al Okhdood
2
0
W
30.12.25
H2H
Al Okhdood
Damac
0
1
W
13.02.25
H2H
Al Okhdood
Damac
0
0
D
13.09.24
H2H
Damac
Al Okhdood
3
1
W
20.04.24
H2H
Al Okhdood
Damac
1
2
W
26.10.23
H2H
Damac
Al Okhdood
2
0
W
Last matches: Damac
15.05.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Fayha
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pro
Damac
Al Khaleej Saihat
0
2
L
09.04.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pro
Damac
Al Riyadh
3
0
W
23.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al Shabab
1
3
L
12.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al Taawon
2
1
W
03.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al Kholood
0
0
D
21.01.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Nassr
1
2
L
13.01.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Ittihad FC
1
1
D
04.01.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
2
L
22.11.25
Pro
Damac
Al Najma
0
0
D
30.10.25
Pro
Damac
Al-Fateh
1
1
D
26.09.25
Pro
Damac
Al-Ettifaq
1
3
L
14.09.25
Pro
Damac
NEOM
1
2
L
28.08.25
Pro
Damac
Al-Hazm
1
1
D
H2H at home: Damac
23.04.26
H2H
Damac
Al Okhdood
2
0
W
13.09.24
H2H
Damac
Al Okhdood
3
1
W
26.10.23
H2H
Damac
Al Okhdood
2
0
W
Last matches: Al Okhdood
21.05.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al Riyadh
0
1
L
12.05.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al Kholood
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
4
L
14.03.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al Shabab
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al Najma
3
1
W
23.02.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Fateh
1
2
L
12.02.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Hazm
1
2
L
30.01.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al Taawon
0
1
L
26.01.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Ittihad FC
1
2
L
16.01.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
4
L
02.01.26
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Ettifaq
0
2
L
27.12.25
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Nassr
0
3
L
07.11.25
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Fayha
0
2
L
25.10.25
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Qadisiyah FC
0
0
D
25.09.25
Pro
Al Okhdood
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
3
L
18.09.25
Pro
Al Okhdood
NEOM
0
1
L
H2H away: Al Okhdood
23.04.26
H2H
Damac
Al Okhdood
2
0
L
13.09.24
H2H
Damac
Al Okhdood
3
1
L
26.10.23
H2H
Damac
Al Okhdood
2
0
L

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8 34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16
Damac Home
34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation