SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
15.05.2026 16:15
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Referee: M. Al Smaail
Damac
Match Timeline
Al-Fayha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
M. Sylla · Assist: V. Vada
Damac
🟨
32'
Mohammed Al Baqawi
Al-Fayha
🔄
46'
Alfa Semedo ↔ M. Villanueva
Al-Fayha
🔄
46'
M. Al Baqawi ↔ K. Al Rammah
Al-Fayha
🔄
46'
A. Bamsaud ↔ S. Vrontis
Al-Fayha
53'
A. Bedrane · Assist: V. Vada
Damac
🔄
62'
Y. Benzia ↔ A. Al Khaibari
Al-Fayha
🟨
70'
Valentín Vada
Damac
🔄
71'
S. Dahal ↔ S. Ganvoula
Al-Fayha
77'
A. Bedrane · Assist: A. Al Obaid
Damac
🔄
83'
Arielson ↔ Y. Meite
Damac
🔄
84'
A. Al Qahtani ↔ D. Al Anazi
Damac
🔄
87'
J. Okita ↔ K. Al Samiri
Damac
🔄
87'
V. Vada ↔ Y. Naji
Damac
🔄
90+1'
A. Bedrane ↔ H. Rabea
Damac

Damac vs Al-Fayha Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Damac Win 34.9%
Draw 12.2%
Al-Fayha Win 52.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Damac1.15
Al-Fayha1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Damac Damac
WWDLW
28 GF / 51 GA
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha
WLDWL
41 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
19
BTTS Yes
18
14
Over 2.5
17
3.09
Shots on Goal
3.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Damac Damac 32 matches
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 32 matches
Damac Statistic Al-Fayha
5 Wins 10
11 Draws 8
16 Losses 14
28 Goals For 41
51 Goals Against 50
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
19 BTTS Yes 18
27 Over 1.5 27
14 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 9
3.09 Shots On Goal 3.28
10.63 Total Shots 10.41
4.06 Corners 4.53
47.1% Ball Possession 44.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Al-Fayha. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Damac have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Damac expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Al-Fayha in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Fayha having the stronger overall control.

Damac Analysis

With 26 points from 32 games and a place of 15, Damac still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 11 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 28:51, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through V. Vada (11 goals), Yakou Méïté (5 goals), J. Harkass (3 goals), with creative support from Abdulrahman Al-Obaid (5 assists), V. Vada (4 assists), D. Al Anazi (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Fayha Analysis

From their first 32 matches, Al-Fayha have collected 38 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 41:50 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Sakala (13 goals), Jason Remeseiro (5 goals), Alfa Semedo (4 goals), with creative support from Jason Remeseiro (7 assists), F. Sakala (5 assists), Yassine Benzia (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Damac won 6 times, Al-Fayha won 1 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:12 from Damac's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Damac 4-3-3 / Al-Fayha 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Damac wins 6, draws 7, Al-Fayha wins 1

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8 34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16
Damac Home
34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation