CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium
Dalian Zhixing
Match Timeline
Shandong Luneng
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
F. Acheampong · Assist: C. Malele
Dalian Zhixing
22'
C. Malele
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
26'
Guilherme Madruga ↔ Mijit Mewlan
Shandong Luneng
36'
V. Qazaishvili · Assist: Chen Pu
Shandong Luneng
🔄
46'
Chen Pu ↔ Cryzan
Shandong Luneng
🟨
53'
Peng Xiao
Shandong Luneng
56'
N. Stanciu · Assist: F. Acheampong
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
57'
Luo Jing ↔ Yang Mingrui
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
59'
Peng Xiao ↔ Zheng Zheng
Shandong Luneng
🟨
67'
Huang Zhengyu
Shandong Luneng
🔄
71'
Xie Wenneng ↔ Y. Peng
Shandong Luneng
🔄
71'
Wang Tong ↔ Memet Imran
Shandong Luneng
🔄
78'
F. Acheampong ↔ Feng Boxuan
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
85'
Liao Jintao ↔ Zhang Huachen
Dalian Zhixing

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.3%
Odds 2.15
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.3%
2.15
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.44
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.7%
1.14
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Dalian Zhixing Win 49.3%
Draw 14.8%
Shandong Luneng Win 35.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dalian Zhixing1.51
Shandong Luneng1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing
WWDLW
26 GF / 34 GA
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
WLDWL
34 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
11
BTTS Yes
13
12
Over 2.5
13
4.65
Shots on Goal
4.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 19 matches
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng 18 matches
Dalian Zhixing Statistic Shandong Luneng
8 Wins 9
1 Draws 3
10 Losses 6
26 Goals For 34
34 Goals Against 31
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
11 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 3
4.65 Shots On Goal 4.28
14.12 Total Shots 13.33
6.29 Corners 4.22
47.2% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Shandong Luneng's more proactive style and Dalian Zhixing's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dalian Zhixing expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Shandong Luneng in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shandong Luneng having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Shandong Luneng. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Dalian Zhixing Analysis

Placed 3 with 25 points from 17 outings, Dalian Zhixing continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 25:31 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shandong Luneng Analysis

Shandong Luneng come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 24 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 34:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Dalian Zhixing won 2 times, Shandong Luneng won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Dalian Zhixing's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
Predicted formations: Dalian Zhixing 4-2-3-1 / Shandong Luneng 4-4-2
H2H summary: Dalian Zhixing wins 2, draws 0, Shandong Luneng wins 1
Last matches: Dalian Zhixing
04.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Wuhan Three Towns
3
2
W
28.06.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shanghai Shenhua
1
4
L
31.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Tianjin Teda
0
1
L
23.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chengdu Better City
2
0
W
19.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
1
D
15.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
10.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Jonoon
1
3
L
06.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
0
3
L
01.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
1
3
L
22.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
10.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
3
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
2
1
W
20.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
0
W
13.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Wuhan Three Towns
1
4
L
07.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shanghai Shenhua
3
5
L
10.02.26
Fri
Dalian Zhixing
Akron
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Dalian Zhixing
Spartak Moscow
0
1
L
Last matches: Shandong Luneng
10.07.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
4
3
W
04.07.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
0
2
L
27.06.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Shenyang Urban
5
1
W
30.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Chengdu Better City
0
1
L
24.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Wuhan Three Towns
3
3
D
20.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Hangzhou Greentown
1
4
L
16.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Sichuan Jiuniu
2
1
W
05.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Shanghai Shenhua
4
1
W
01.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Jonoon
1
4
L
21.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
2
1
W
17.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
1
D
11.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Henan Jianye
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Dalian Zhixing
1
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
0
4
L
14.03.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
07.03.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Shenyang Urban
3
0
W
H2H: Dalian Zhixing vs Shandong Luneng
04.04.26
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Dalian Zhixing
1
2
W
19.07.25
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
2
0
W
28.02.25
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Dalian Zhixing
4
1
L
Last matches: Dalian Zhixing
04.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Wuhan Three Towns
3
2
W
28.06.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shanghai Shenhua
1
4
L
23.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chengdu Better City
2
0
W
15.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
01.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
1
3
L
18.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
10.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
3
0
W
20.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
0
W
H2H at home: Dalian Zhixing
19.07.25
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
2
0
W
Last matches: Shandong Luneng
04.07.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
0
2
L
27.06.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Shenyang Urban
5
1
W
30.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Chengdu Better City
0
1
L
20.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Hangzhou Greentown
1
4
L
10.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Sichuan Jiuniu
2
1
W
26.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Jonoon
1
4
L
21.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
2
1
W
11.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Henan Jianye
1
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
0
4
L
H2H away: Shandong Luneng
19.07.25
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
2
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.05
Draw 4.04
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.38
Draw 2.66
Home 2.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.13
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 2.75 1.53
Over 3.0 1.66
Over 3.25 1.89
Over 3.5 2.09
Over 3.75 2.36
Over 4.5 3.39
Over 5.5 6.16
Under 1.5 6.34
Under 2.5 2.84
Under 2.75 2.57
Under 3.0 2.27
Under 3.25 1.98
Under 3.5 1.78
Under 3.75 1.61
Under 4.5 1.33
Under 5.5 1.13
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 3.80
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.50
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.75
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.60
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.04
Draw 3.84
Home 2.18
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.36
Draw 2.38
Home 2.55
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.02
Draw 2.83
Home 2.34
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 1.75 1.10
Over 2.0 1.13
Over 2.25 1.26
Over 2.5 1.46
Over 2.75 1.49
Over 3.0 1.68
Over 3.25 1.84
Over 3.5 2.09
Over 3.75 2.34
Over 4.0 2.86
Over 4.25 3.06
Over 4.5 3.94
Over 4.75 3.96
Over 5.0 7.80
Over 5.25 5.39
Over 5.5 9.75
Over 6.5 18.50
Over 7.5 32.00
Over 8.5 36.00
Under 0.5 24.00
Under 1.0 23.00
Under 1.5 9.50
Under 1.75 5.10
Under 2.0 6.86
Under 2.25 3.30
Under 2.5 2.89
Under 2.75 2.41
Under 3.0 2.26
Under 3.25 1.89
Under 3.5 1.76
Under 3.75 1.61
Under 4.0 1.46
Under 4.25 1.34
Under 4.5 1.29
Under 4.75 1.20
Under 5.0 1.11
Under 5.25 1.10
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 3.70
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.45
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.95
Draw 2.88
Home 2.43
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.13
Over 2.0 1.17
Over 2.25 1.30
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 2.75 1.53
Over 3.0 1.68
Over 3.25 1.89
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 3.75 2.40
Over 4.0 2.95
Over 4.25 3.20
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 4.75 4.20
Over 5.0 5.50
Over 5.25 5.80
Over 5.5 6.00
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.0 4.25
Under 2.25 3.10
Under 2.5 2.55
Under 2.75 2.30
Under 3.0 2.04
Under 3.25 1.79
Under 3.5 1.63
Under 3.75 1.49
Under 4.0 1.34
Under 4.25 1.29
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 4.75 1.17
Under 5.0 1.10
Under 5.25 1.09
Under 5.5 1.08

Standings

Chinese Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 4 2 39:18 21 43
D D D W W
2 19 7 8 4 23:21 2 29
D D L W L
3 18 9 1 8 28:32 -4 28
W W L L W
4 19 7 4 8 36:35 1 25
D L W L D
5 19 5 10 4 23:29 -6 25
D L W W D
6 19 9 3 7 35:34 1 24
L W L W L
7 18 7 6 5 30:24 6 22
D W W W L
8 19 7 5 7 27:32 -5 21
D W L L W
9 18 6 3 9 25:30 -5 21
D W L W W
10 18 6 2 10 25:31 -6 20
W L L W W
11 17 8 5 4 36:27 9 19
W W D L
12 18 7 3 8 23:23 0 18
W L L L W
13 18 5 6 7 28:26 2 16
D L W L D
14 19 6 3 10 30:36 -6 14
L L D W L
15 17 4 6 7 22:22 0 8
W L W D
16 17 2 7 8 24:34 -10 8
L L D D D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Relegation - League One