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24.10.2026 20:30
Estadio Regional de Chinquihue
D. Puerto Montt
Match Timeline
Union San Felipe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
L. Vazquez
D. Puerto Montt
⚽
41'
M. Riveros
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
46'
B. Aravena ↔ O. Henriquez
Union San Felipe
⚽
49'
C. Suarez
Union San Felipe
🔄
57'
F. Espinoza ↔ N. Mancilla
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
60'
A. Sabella ↔ D. Diaz
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
60'
L. Vazquez ↔ B. Taiva
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
62'
B. Gonzalez ↔ L. Garcia
Union San Felipe
🔄
70'
B. Riveros ↔ N. Brun
Union San Felipe
🔄
70'
A. Leon ↔ P. Munoz
Union San Felipe
🔄
73'
K. Egana ↔ F. Calisto
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
73'
J. Flores ↔ C. Vargas
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
84'
D. Fuentes ↔ B. Guajardo Barrera
Union San Felipe
⚽
90'
C. Vargas
D. Puerto Montt

D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
D. Puerto Montt Win 59.4%
Draw 21.3%
Union San Felipe Win 19.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
D. Puerto Montt1.28
Union San Felipe0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt
D L L L L
1 GF / 7 GA
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe
D L L L L
3 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
14
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt 37 matches
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 34 matches
D. Puerto Montt Statistic Union San Felipe
14 Wins 7
6 Draws 9
17 Losses 18
37 Goals For 24
44 Goals Against 58
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
14 BTTS Yes 12
27 Over 1.5 24
13 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 10
13 Clean Sheets 8
13 Failed To Score 18
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Union San Felipe. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union San Felipe having the stronger overall control.

D. Puerto Montt Analysis

With 34 points from 27 games and a place of 12, D. Puerto Montt still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 26:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union San Felipe Analysis

Union San Felipe approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 22 points from 27 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 16:48 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, D. Puerto Montt won 6 times, Union San Felipe won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from D. Puerto Montt's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (80.7%)
Predicted formations: D. Puerto Montt 4-2-3-1 / Union San Felipe -
H2H summary: D. Puerto Montt wins 6, draws 2, Union San Felipe wins 6

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 9 5 52:30 22 54
W W L W W
2 29 15 9 5 44:30 14 54
D W W W W
3 29 14 8 7 48:32 16 50
W W L L L
4 29 13 9 7 51:26 25 48
W D W W L
5 29 13 7 9 45:44 1 46
L L W W W
6 29 11 10 8 35:28 7 43
W D L W W
7 29 11 9 9 41:43 -2 42
D L L W D
8 29 11 8 10 43:42 1 41
D L W W W
9 29 11 6 12 34:37 -3 39
L W L L D
10 29 9 11 9 42:33 9 38
W D W W W
11 29 11 5 13 29:36 -7 38
W D L L L
12 30 9 9 12 46:45 1 36
L L D W L
13 30 8 10 12 30:47 -17 34
W L D W L
14 29 4 12 13 29:43 -14 24
D D L L D
15 29 5 8 16 19:53 -34 23
L D L L L
16 29 5 6 18 28:47 -19 21
L L W L L