Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
91.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
D. Puerto Montt
San Marcos de Arica
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
D. Puerto Montt
12 matches
San Marcos de Arica
12 matches
| D. Puerto Montt | Statistic | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 1 | Draws | 7 |
| 4 | Losses | 0 |
| 16 | Goals For | 17 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.75 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Marcos de Arica having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward San Marcos de Arica. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
D. Puerto Montt come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 22 points after 12 matches. The return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 16:12, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Flores (5 goals), M. Clerveaux (3 goals), L. Vazquez (2 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Operating from 3 place with 22 points from 12 games, San Marcos de Arica bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 0 losses, with a 17:9 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on C. Melivilu Fuentes (9 goals), C. Guerra (2 goals), N. Donadell (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, D. Puerto Montt won 3 times, San Marcos de Arica won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from D. Puerto Montt's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Lineups
D. Puerto Montt
Cobreloa
D. Puerto Montt
Union San Felipe
D. Puerto Montt
San Luis
D. Puerto Montt
Magallanes
D. Puerto Montt
Rangers de Talca
D. Puerto Montt
Curico Unido
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Temuco
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Iquique
D. Puerto Montt
Santiago Wanderers
D. Puerto Montt
Union Espanola
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Santa Cruz
D. Puerto Montt
Recoleta
D. Puerto Montt
Antofagasta
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Copiapo
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
D. Puerto Montt
Cobreloa
D. Puerto Montt
Magallanes
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Temuco
D. Puerto Montt
Santiago Wanderers
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Santa Cruz
D. Puerto Montt
Recoleta
D. Puerto Montt
Deportes Copiapo
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 26 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
San Marcos de Arica
Away
|
15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 4 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26:18 | 8 | 23 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
D. Puerto Montt
Home
|
15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 22 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 22 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 22 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 22 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16:24 | -8 | 18 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:27 | -14 | 16 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 13 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 12 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11:28 | -17 | 3 |
L
L
L
L
D
|