CHILE PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Regional de Chinquihue
D. Puerto Montt
Match Timeline
Magallanes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
L. Vazquez
D. Puerto Montt
34'
B. Nieto
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
46'
R. Farfan ↔ A. Toledo
Magallanes
🔄
46'
G. Guzman ↔ S. Coronel
Magallanes
🔄
59'
A. Sabella ↔ J. Flores
D. Puerto Montt
🟨
61'
A. Walters
Magallanes
🔄
62'
C. Jorquera ↔ M. Alegre
Magallanes
🟨
64'
M. Riveros
D. Puerto Montt
🟥
64'
K. Gonzalez
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
66'
H. Salinas Flores ↔ F. Yanez
Magallanes
🟨
67'
M. Vasquez
Magallanes
🟨
67'
R. Castro
D. Puerto Montt
🟥
68'
J. Quiroz
Magallanes
🟥
68'
J. Flores
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
72'
R. Castro ↔ J. Pino Villalon
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
75'
L. Vazquez ↔ R. Paredes
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
83'
M. Fredes ↔ E. Neira
Magallanes
🟨
90+5'
E. Neira
Magallanes
🟥
90+7'
J. Munoz
Magallanes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
D. Puerto Montt Win 49.1%
Draw 11.8%
Magallanes Win 39.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
D. Puerto Montt1.49
Magallanes1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt
WWDLW
15 GF / 11 GA
Magallanes Magallanes
WLDWL
19 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.46
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
6
BTTS Yes
11
5
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt 12 matches
Magallanes Magallanes 13 matches
D. Puerto Montt Statistic Magallanes
6 Wins 4
2 Draws 3
4 Losses 6
15 Goals For 19
11 Goals Against 24
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
6 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Magallanes. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Magallanes having the stronger overall control.

D. Puerto Montt Analysis

D. Puerto Montt arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 19 points after 10 matches. The record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Flores (5 goals), M. Clerveaux (3 goals), A. Sabella (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Magallanes Analysis

Magallanes sit 7 with 15 points after 10 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 16:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Jorquera (3 goals), R. Farfan (3 goals), H. Salinas Flores (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, D. Puerto Montt won 4 times, Magallanes won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:9 from D. Puerto Montt's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.7 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: D. Puerto Montt - / Magallanes 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: D. Puerto Montt wins 4, draws 3, Magallanes wins 3

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 11 8 3 40:23 17 41
W L W D D
2 22 11 8 3 39:22 17 41
W W D D D
3 22 10 7 5 40:22 18 37
W W D D W
4 22 9 8 5 32:26 6 35
W L W D D
5 22 10 5 7 38:37 1 35
L W W D W
6 22 10 4 8 29:28 1 34
L W W W L
7 22 8 7 7 32:31 1 31
D W D W D
8 22 9 4 9 23:27 -4 31
L L D L D
9 22 7 9 6 25:20 5 30
L L L L D
10 22 8 6 8 31:35 -4 30
L L W L D
11 22 7 7 8 36:33 3 28
W L D D L
12 22 5 10 7 31:27 4 25
L W D W D
13 22 5 9 8 20:32 -12 24
D W L L D
14 22 5 6 11 15:37 -22 21
D L L W D
15 22 3 8 11 24:37 -13 17
D L L W D
16 22 2 6 14 19:37 -18 12
W W L L D