CHILE PRIMERA B
05.09.2026 00:30
Estadio Regional de Chinquihue
D. Puerto Montt
Match Timeline
Curico Unido
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
F. Calisto
D. Puerto Montt
🟨
34'
C. Vargas
D. Puerto Montt
🟨
35'
H. Sanhueza
Curico Unido
🟨
59'
R. Guzman
Curico Unido
🟨
64'
R. Paredes
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
65'
K. Egana ↔ S. Perez
D. Puerto Montt
🟥
67'
J. Retamales
Curico Unido
69'
S. Perez
D. Puerto Montt
🟨
78'
G. Castillo
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
80'
R. Guzman ↔ J. Romo
Curico Unido
🔄
80'
C. Medina ↔ B. Inostroza
Curico Unido
🔄
80'
R. de La Fuente ↔ W. Saez
Curico Unido
🔄
84'
D. Diaz ↔ B. Nieto
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
84'
N. Fernandez ↔ F. Gutierrez
Curico Unido
🔄
85'
H. Sanhueza ↔ F. Perez
Curico Unido
🔄
90'
C. Vargas ↔ J. Flores
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
90'
J. Cardenas ↔ K. Gonzalez
D. Puerto Montt
90'
J. Flores
D. Puerto Montt

D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.84
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.17
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48.9%
2.18
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.84
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.17
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
D. Puerto Montt Win 48.9%
Draw 17.3%
Curico Unido Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
D. Puerto Montt1.22
Curico Unido1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt
WWDLW
31 GF / 33 GA
Curico Unido Curico Unido
WLDWL
31 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
12
BTTS Yes
16
10
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt 28 matches
Curico Unido Curico Unido 29 matches
D. Puerto Montt Statistic Curico Unido
12 Wins 8
5 Draws 12
11 Losses 9
31 Goals For 31
33 Goals Against 40
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
12 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 20
10 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 8
10 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Curico Unido having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Curico Unido. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

D. Puerto Montt Analysis

From their first 21 matches, D. Puerto Montt have collected 31 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 22:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Curico Unido Analysis

Curico Unido are currently 13 in the standings with 23 points from 21 matches. The record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 20:32 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, D. Puerto Montt won 0 times, Curico Unido won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from D. Puerto Montt's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
H2H summary: D. Puerto Montt wins 0, draws 0, Curico Unido wins 1

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 8 4 40:25 15 44
L W W W D
2 24 11 9 4 42:27 15 42
D L W L W
3 24 11 8 5 38:29 9 41
W W W L W
4 25 11 7 7 41:38 3 40
W D D L W
5 25 10 8 7 42:26 16 38
L D L W W
6 25 10 8 7 36:33 3 38
D W W D W
7 25 9 9 7 31:23 8 36
W L W L L
8 25 10 6 9 32:32 0 36
D L D L W
9 25 10 4 11 26:31 -5 34
L L W L L
10 25 8 8 9 40:35 5 32
D W L W L
11 24 8 7 9 33:38 -5 31
D L L L W
12 25 6 10 9 33:30 3 28
W L L L W
13 25 6 9 10 22:38 -16 27
L W L D W
14 25 4 10 11 26:38 -12 22
D W D D L
15 23 5 7 11 15:37 -22 22
D D L L W
16 25 4 6 15 23:40 -17 18
L W W W W