CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio La Portada

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 61.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
61.2%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
D. La Serena Win 38.8%
Draw 21.8%
O'Higgins Win 39.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
D. La Serena1.41
O'Higgins1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
D. La Serena D. La Serena
WWDLW
33 GF / 41 GA
O'Higgins O'Higgins
WLDWL
35 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
13
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
12
4.31
Shots on Goal
4.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

D. La Serena D. La Serena 23 matches
O'Higgins O'Higgins 26 matches
D. La Serena Statistic O'Higgins
6 Wins 11
8 Draws 4
9 Losses 11
33 Goals For 35
41 Goals Against 36
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
13 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 12
11 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 7
4.31 Shots On Goal 4.1
11.06 Total Shots 12.5
4.19 Corners 5.05
48.6% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward O'Higgins. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward O'Higgins having the stronger overall control. O'Higgins arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

D. La Serena Analysis

So far, D. La Serena have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 18 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 21:25 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Jeisson Vargas (3 goals), Felipe Chamorro (2 goals), Diego Rubio (2 goals), with creative support from Jeisson Vargas (3 assists), Bruno Gutiérrez (1 assists), Ángelo Henríquez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

O'Higgins Analysis

O'Higgins approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 20 points from 15 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 19:22, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Francisco González (3 goals), Thiago Vecino (3 goals), Bryan Rabello (1 goals), with creative support from Francisco González (1 assists), Thiago Vecino (1 assists), Bryan Rabello (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, D. La Serena won 2 times, O'Higgins won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from D. La Serena's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.11 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.2%)
Predicted formations: D. La Serena 4-3-3 / O'Higgins 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: D. La Serena wins 2, draws 5, O'Higgins wins 2
Last matches: D. La Serena
26.07.26
Pri
D. La Serena
U. Catolica
3
3
D
12.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
0
1
L
05.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
01.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
2
1
W
24.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
0
0
D
21.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
2
4
L
24.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
4
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Palestino
1
5
L
26.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Huachipato
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Concepción
3
3
D
11.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
0
4
L
15.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Nublense
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
3
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Concepcion
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
Last matches: O'Higgins
27.07.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Concepción
0
2
L
05.07.26
Cop
O'Higgins
Union Espanola
2
1
W
03.07.26
Cop
O'Higgins
Colo Colo
4
1
W
28.06.26
Cop
O'Higgins
Recoleta
1
1
D
25.06.26
Cop
O'Higgins
Colo Colo
2
3
L
22.06.26
Cop
O'Higgins
Union Espanola
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Universidad de Chile
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Coquimbo Unido
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Everton de Vina
2
3
L
16.05.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Nublense
2
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Cobresal
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Huachipato
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
A. Italiano
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Union La Calera
3
3
D
12.03.26
CON
O'Higgins
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
O'Higgins
U. Catolica
1
0
W
05.03.26
CON
O'Higgins
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Palestino
2
4
L
25.02.26
CON
O'Higgins
Bahia
1
2
L
H2H: D. La Serena vs O'Higgins
07.02.26
H2H
O'Higgins
D. La Serena
1
0
L
09.08.25
H2H
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
3
3
D
09.03.25
H2H
O'Higgins
D. La Serena
1
1
D
03.07.22
H2H
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
1
0
W
04.02.22
H2H
O'Higgins
D. La Serena
3
0
L
14.09.21
H2H
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
2
0
W
18.04.21
H2H
O'Higgins
D. La Serena
0
0
D
02.01.21
H2H
O'Higgins
D. La Serena
1
1
D
04.09.20
H2H
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
1
1
D
Last matches: D. La Serena
05.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
28.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
2
1
W
24.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
2
4
L
24.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
4
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Huachipato
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
3
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Concepcion
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
U. Catolica
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
D. La Serena
Cobresal
2
3
L
12.10.25
Cop
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
1
6
L
09.07.25
Cop
D. La Serena
Santiago Wanderers
4
2
W
02.07.25
Cop
D. La Serena
San Luis
4
1
W
11.05.25
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
1
D
06.04.25
Cop
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
2
0
W
09.02.25
Cop
D. La Serena
San Marcos de Arica
2
1
W
25.06.22
Cop
D. La Serena
Universidad de Concepcion
1
2
L
01.07.21
Cop
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
1
3
L
H2H at home: D. La Serena
09.08.25
H2H
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
3
3
D
03.07.22
H2H
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
1
0
W
14.09.21
H2H
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
2
0
W
04.09.20
H2H
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
1
1
D
Last matches: O'Higgins
27.07.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Concepción
0
2
L
05.07.26
Cop
O'Higgins
Union Espanola
2
1
W
25.06.26
Cop
O'Higgins
Colo Colo
2
3
L
19.06.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Universidad de Chile
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Coquimbo Unido
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Nublense
2
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Cobresal
3
2
W
16.03.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Union La Calera
3
3
D
12.03.26
CON
O'Higgins
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Palestino
2
4
L
25.02.26
CON
O'Higgins
Bahia
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Deportes Limache
1
2
L
11.05.25
Cop
O'Higgins
Rangers de Talca
0
1
L
21.03.25
Cop
O'Higgins
Huachipato
1
2
L
01.02.25
Cop
O'Higgins
Deportes Temuco
1
1
D
30.06.24
Cop
O'Higgins
Colo Colo
1
3
L
16.06.24
Cop
O'Higgins
Lautaro de Buin
1
0
W
19.08.23
Cop
O'Higgins
Magallanes
1
2
L
03.07.23
Cop
O'Higgins
A. Italiano
2
0
W
21.06.23
Cop
O'Higgins
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
H2H away: O'Higgins
09.08.25
H2H
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
3
3
D
03.07.22
H2H
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
1
0
L
14.09.21
H2H
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
2
0
L
04.09.20
H2H
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
1
1
D

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 13 0 3 32:13 19 39
W W W W W
2 16 8 3 5 38:23 15 27
D W W L W
3 16 7 6 3 19:11 8 27
W W D W L
4 16 6 7 3 20:19 1 25
W D W D L
5 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
6 16 7 3 6 26:25 1 24
D D L L W
7 16 7 3 6 23:23 0 24
L W D W W
8 16 6 3 7 31:26 5 21
L L L L L
9 16 5 5 6 17:17 0 20
D L W D W
10 16 6 2 8 19:24 -5 20
L L D L L
11 16 4 7 5 24:28 -4 19
D D L W L
12 16 5 4 7 19:24 -5 19
D D D L L
13 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
14 16 5 2 9 16:23 -7 17
W W L W L
15 16 4 4 8 19:23 -4 16
L D D W L
16 16 3 2 11 20:35 -15 11
D L L L W