D. La Serena vs Nublense Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
63.8%
|
2.79 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
2.03 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82%
|
1.25 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
11.00 |
D. La Serena
Nublense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
D. La Serena
28 matches
Nublense
27 matches
| D. La Serena | Statistic | Nublense |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 12 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 6 |
| 41 | Goals For | 35 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.24 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 11.19 | Total Shots | 12.52 |
| 4 | Corners | 4.43 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 46.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Nublense's more proactive style and D. La Serena's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with D. La Serena expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Nublense in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nublense having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nublense. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
From their first 20 matches, D. La Serena have collected 24 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 31:34 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jeisson Vargas (4 goals), Felipe Chamorro (3 goals), Ángelo Henríquez (2 goals), with creative support from Jeisson Vargas (5 assists), Felipe Chamorro (2 assists), Bruno Gutiérrez (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 19 matches, Nublense have collected 32 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, while the 26:23 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Sebastián Valencia (3 goals), Matías Plaza (2 goals), Ignacio Jeraldino (2 goals), with creative support from Matías Plaza (4 assists), Manuel Rivera (1 assists), Jovany Campusano (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, D. La Serena won 4 times, Nublense won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from D. La Serena's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 48:22 | 26 | 54 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50:33 | 17 | 42 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 37:25 | 12 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 36 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 43:35 | 8 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Nublense
Away
|
23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 28:31 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 31 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
D. La Serena
Home
|
23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 30 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 10 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 29 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:31 | -5 | 28 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 25 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 17:37 | -20 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19:40 | -21 | 17 |
W
L
L
D
L
|