Login Register
23.08.2026 16:00
Estadio La Portada
Referee: Piero Maza, Chile
D. La Serena
Match Timeline
Cobresal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
Ángelo Henríquez · Assist: Jeisson Vargas
D. La Serena
🟨
20'
Franco Bechtholdt
Cobresal
⚽
29'
Julián Brea · Assist: Felipe Villagrán
Cobresal
🟨
50'
Felipe Chamorro
D. La Serena
🟨
53'
Christian Moreno
Cobresal
🟨
57'
Benjamín Valenzuela
Cobresal
🔄
59'
Ángelo Henríquez ↔ Diego Rubio
D. La Serena
🔄
60'
Julián Brea ↔ César Yanis
Cobresal
⚽
64'
Christian Moreno
D. La Serena
⚽
66'
Matías Marín · Assist: Felipe Chamorro
D. La Serena
🔄
69'
Fernando Dinamarca ↔ Yahir Salazar
D. La Serena
🔄
69'
Gonzalo Escalante ↔ Gonzalo Gabriel Figueroa
D. La Serena
🔄
70'
Benjamín Valenzuela ↔ Franco Frías
Cobresal
🟨
73'
Bruno Gutiérrez
D. La Serena
🔄
76'
Steffan Pino ↔ Martín Espinoza
Cobresal
🔄
76'
Janpol Morales ↔ Bryan Carvallo
Cobresal
🔄
76'
Victor Manuel Campos Mella ↔ Aaron Astudillo
Cobresal
⚽
80'
Franco Frías
Cobresal
⚽
90'
Rafael Delgado
Cobresal

D. La Serena vs Cobresal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 81.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
81.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
D. La Serena Win 54.3%
Draw 27.3%
Cobresal Win 18.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
D. La Serena1.57
Cobresal1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
D. La Serena D. La Serena
W D L D L
7 GF / 7 GA
Cobresal Cobresal
L L W D L
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
15
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
12
4.21
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

D. La Serena D. La Serena 26 matches
Cobresal Cobresal 25 matches
D. La Serena Statistic Cobresal
7 Wins 5
9 Draws 4
10 Losses 16
37 Goals For 28
44 Goals Against 45
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
15 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 12
11 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 11
4.21 Shots On Goal 4.67
11.47 Total Shots 14.5
4.05 Corners 4.83
46.9% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cobresal. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with D. La Serena expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cobresal in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cobresal having the stronger overall control. Cobresal arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

D. La Serena Analysis

D. La Serena sit 10 with 23 points after 19 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 28:31 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jeisson Vargas (4 goals), Felipe Chamorro (3 goals), Diego Rubio (2 goals), with creative support from Jeisson Vargas (4 assists), Bruno Gutiérrez (2 assists), Felipe Chamorro (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cobresal Analysis

With 17 points from 18 games and a place of 15, Cobresal still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 26:34, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Steffan Pino (5 goals), Julián Brea (4 goals), Agustin Nadruz (2 goals), with creative support from Bryan Carvallo (3 assists), César Yanis (2 assists), Guillermo Pacheco (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, D. La Serena won 5 times, Cobresal won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:23 from D. La Serena's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.7%)
Predicted formations: D. La Serena 4-2-3-1 / Cobresal 4-4-2
H2H summary: D. La Serena wins 5, draws 4, Cobresal wins 6

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 4 4 57:29 28 58
W D L D D
2 26 14 6 6 45:21 24 48
L W W W W
3 26 14 4 8 53:37 16 46
W D L W W
4 26 11 7 8 43:33 10 40
D L W W L
5 25 11 5 9 39:36 3 38
D D L W L
6 25 11 4 10 46:37 9 37
W D L W W
7 25 10 5 10 38:35 3 35
W L W L L
8 26 9 8 9 30:39 -9 35
L W L L L
9 26 8 10 8 39:42 -3 34
D W L L W
10 25 9 6 10 34:40 -6 33
D D W W D
11 25 9 5 11 27:30 -3 32
L D D L W
12 26 9 4 13 30:39 -9 31
W D L L W
13 25 7 9 9 28:33 -5 30
D D W W L
14 26 7 6 13 38:48 -10 27
D D D W L
15 26 6 5 15 19:47 -28 23
L L D L L
16 26 5 6 15 23:43 -20 21
L W D W L