Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
85.1%
|
1.58 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.85 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90.8%
|
1.49 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.40 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cusco
26 matches
UTC Cajamarca
21 matches
| Cusco | Statistic | UTC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 8 |
| 31 | Goals For | 24 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.2 | Shots On Goal | 4.37 |
| 11.36 | Total Shots | 12.16 |
| 3.56 | Corners | 4.68 |
| 54.9% | Ball Possession | 51.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cusco expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and UTC Cajamarca in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward UTC Cajamarca having the stronger overall control. UTC Cajamarca arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors UTC Cajamarca. Cusco arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 30 points compared to UTC Cajamarca in 18 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Cusco are currently 6 in the standings with 30 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 25:25 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on Iván Colman (3 goals), Facundo Callejo (3 goals), José Miguel Manzaneda (2 goals), with creative support from Iván Colman (2 assists), Facundo Callejo (2 assists), José Miguel Manzaneda (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
UTC Cajamarca sit 18 with 13 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 22:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Marcos Lliuya (2 goals), Abdiel Arroyo (2 goals), Adolfo Muñoz (1 goals), with creative support from Marcos Lliuya (2 assists), Adolfo Muñoz (2 assists), Michel Rasmussen (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Cusco won 2 times, UTC Cajamarca won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Cusco's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.
Cusco
Universitario
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
ADT
Cusco
Flamengo
Cusco
Atletico Grau
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
Sport Boys
Cusco
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
Sport Huancayo
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
Cusco
Alianza Lima
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
Flamengo
Cusco
FBC Melgar
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
Cienciano
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
Atletico Grau
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
Sport Huancayo
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
Cusco
Flamengo
Cusco
Cienciano
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Cusco
Home
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
UTC Cajamarca
Away
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
W
D
L
D
L
|