Cusco vs UCV Moquegua Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.3%
|
1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.65 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
82.7%
|
1.22 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.83 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.50 |
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cusco
31 matches
UCV Moquegua
25 matches
| Cusco | Statistic | UCV Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 14 | Losses | 12 |
| 41 | Goals For | 23 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.13 | Shots On Goal | 3.33 |
| 11.43 | Total Shots | 10.08 |
| 3.67 | Corners | 3.17 |
| 54.9% | Ball Possession | 39.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward UCV Moquegua. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Cusco have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cusco expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and UCV Moquegua in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward UCV Moquegua having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Cusco sit 7 with 36 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 34:35, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Facundo Callejo (5 goals), Iván Colman (3 goals), José Miguel Manzaneda (2 goals), with creative support from Lucas Colitto (4 assists), Facundo Callejo (2 assists), Iván Colman (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, UCV Moquegua have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 25 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, while the 22:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Edgar Lastre (6 goals), Jeferson Collazos (3 goals), Cristian Mejia (2 goals), with creative support from Yorman Zapata (4 assists), Edgar Lastre (3 assists), Nicolas Amasifuen (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Cusco won 1 times, UCV Moquegua won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Cusco's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | 24 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | 16 | 49 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | 16 | 45 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 45 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Cusco
Home
|
26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 40 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:34 | 4 | 37 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 35 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
UCV Moquegua
Away
|
26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 17 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|