Login Register
24.10.2026 20:15
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Referee: A. Menendez
Cusco
Match Timeline
Sporting Cristal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
Facundo Callejo · Assist: Lucas Colitto
Cusco
🟨
32'
José Zevallos
Cusco
⚽
42'
Facundo Callejo
Cusco
VAR
44'
Facundo Callejo
Cusco
🔄
45'
Michael Hoyos ↔ Hernán Barcos
Sporting Cristal
🔄
45'
Yoshimar Yotún ↔ Martín Távara
Sporting Cristal
🟨
49'
Ivan Colman
Cusco
🔄
62'
Maxloren Castro ↔ Luis Abram
Sporting Cristal
🔄
62'
José Zevallos ↔ Marlon Ruidías
Cusco
🔄
71'
Cristiano ↔ Catriel Cabellos
Sporting Cristal
🔄
71'
Santiago González ↔ Irven Avila
Sporting Cristal
🔄
72'
Lucas Colitto ↔ Nicolás Silva
Cusco
⚽
74'
Aldair Fuentes · Assist: Ivan Colman
Cusco
🟨
81'
Jean Montano
Cusco
🔄
84'
Ivan Colman ↔ Carlos Diez
Cusco
🔄
86'
José Manzaneda ↔ Joel Herrera
Cusco
⚽
87'
Martín Távara
Sporting Cristal

Cusco vs Sporting Cristal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cusco Win 51.9%
Draw 14.9%
Sporting Cristal Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cusco1.35
Sporting Cristal1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cusco Cusco
L L W L W
6 GF / 6 GA
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
W W W W W
15 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
23
BTTS Yes
26
21
Over 2.5
25
4.11
Shots on Goal
4.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cusco Cusco 36 matches
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 40 matches
Cusco Statistic Sporting Cristal
14 Wins 17
5 Draws 7
17 Losses 16
47 Goals For 66
55 Goals Against 56
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
23 BTTS Yes 26
28 Over 1.5 33
21 Over 2.5 25
9 Over 3.5 16
5 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 5
4.11 Shots On Goal 4.79
11.6 Total Shots 14.28
3.91 Corners 5.59
54.5% Ball Possession 55.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Sporting Cristal's more proactive style and Cusco's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sporting Cristal. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cusco expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Sporting Cristal in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Cristal having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Sporting Cristal look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Cusco Analysis

Cusco sit 5 with 45 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 14 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats with a 42:42 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Callejo (7 goals), I. Colman (4 goals), J. Manzaneda (2 goals), with creative support from L. Colitto (4 assists), F. Callejo (2 assists), I. Colman (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sporting Cristal Analysis

So far, Sporting Cristal have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 41 points from 28 matches. The record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 49:40 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Yotún (5 goals), M. Hoyos (4 goals), L. Iberico (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Yotún (10 assists), S. González (5 assists), M. Hoyos (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Cusco won 3 times, Sporting Cristal won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:25 from Cusco's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.46 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
Predicted formations: Cusco 4-1-4-1 / Sporting Cristal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cusco wins 3, draws 2, Sporting Cristal wins 8

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 19 8 4 52:23 29 65
L W W W W
2 31 17 8 6 55:35 20 59
W W W D L
3 32 15 9 8 54:37 17 54
L D W W D
4 32 16 6 10 50:35 15 54
W L W L L
5
Cusco Home
32 16 3 13 46:44 2 51
L W W L L
6 32 15 5 12 62:47 15 50
W W L W W
7 31 15 5 11 53:43 10 50
W L W W D
8 32 14 7 11 49:46 3 49
W W L L W
9 32 14 5 13 46:48 -2 47
W L W W W
10 32 13 8 11 39:51 -12 47
D L L W D
11 31 12 8 11 35:33 2 44
W W L L D
12 32 11 8 13 47:57 -10 41
L W L W D
13 32 8 12 12 44:47 -3 36
D D W L D
14 32 9 7 16 29:41 -12 34
L L D L D
15 32 7 10 15 35:47 -12 31
D W D L D
16 32 7 8 17 25:46 -21 29
D L L W L
17 32 7 7 18 44:65 -21 28
L L L L D
18 32 5 8 19 38:58 -20 18
L W L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2