PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Referee: D. Ureta
Cusco
Match Timeline
Juan Pablo II College
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
F. Callejo · Assist: N. Silva
Cusco
🔄
11'
A. Fuentes ↔ C. Gamarra
Cusco
🟨
28'
C. Villanueva
Juan Pablo II College
30'
M. Almiron
Cusco
🟨
38'
C. Montano
Cusco
🔄
46'
C. Villanueva ↔ J. P. Goicochea Del Carpio
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
57'
C. Montano ↔ O. Valenzuela
Cusco
🔄
57'
J. Manzaneda ↔ Miguel Silveira
Cusco
🔄
63'
E. Ramirez ↔ M. Alaniz
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
63'
J. Posito ↔ M. Rodriguez
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
73'
I. Colman ↔ J. Tevez
Cusco
🔄
73'
C. Diez ↔ D. Soto
Cusco
🔄
80'
J. Toledo ↔ P. Anton
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
87'
N. Ramirez ↔ A. Henricks
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
88'
M. Almiron
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
90+5'
C. Flores
Juan Pablo II College

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.8%
Odds 1.26
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.49
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.8%
1.26
BTTS Yes
86%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.49
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.5%
1.32
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.91
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Cusco Win 82.8%
Draw 5%
Juan Pablo II College Win 12.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cusco1.57
Juan Pablo II College1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cusco Cusco
WWDLW
36 GF / 44 GA
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
WLDWL
29 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
2
18
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
14
4.19
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cusco Cusco 28 matches
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 22 matches
Cusco Statistic Juan Pablo II College
10 Wins 6
5 Draws 6
13 Losses 10
36 Goals For 29
44 Goals Against 44
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 2
18 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 6
4.19 Shots On Goal 3.29
11.19 Total Shots 9.29
3.37 Corners 3.86
55.1% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Juan Pablo II College. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cusco expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Juan Pablo II College in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juan Pablo II College having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Cusco arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 27 points compared to Juan Pablo II College in 18 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cusco Analysis

So far, Cusco have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 27 points from 17 matches. The record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 21:24 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Facundo Callejo (5 goals), Iván Colman (3 goals), José Miguel Manzaneda (2 goals), with creative support from Lucas Colitto (4 assists), Facundo Callejo (2 assists), Iván Colman (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Juan Pablo II College Analysis

Juan Pablo II College sit 18 with 16 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 22:40 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Martín Alaníz (2 goals), Josue Torres (2 goals), Erinson Ramirez (1 goals), with creative support from Martín Alaníz (2 assists), Erinson Ramirez (1 assists), Cristhian Tizón (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Cusco won 2 times, Juan Pablo II College won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Cusco's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Cusco 4-1-4-1 / Juan Pablo II College 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cusco wins 2, draws 1, Juan Pablo II College wins 1
Stats
Cusco Cusco
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 5
12 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 8
7 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 3
6 Shots outsidebox 9
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
453 Total passes 304
399 Passes accurate 242
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cusco
Formation
Juan Pablo II College
Pedro Diaz
Pedro Diaz
José Zevallos
José Zevallos
Aldair Fuentes
Aldair Fuentes
Alvaro Ampuero
Alvaro Ampuero
Ricardo Lagos
Ricardo Lagos
Jean Carlos Montaño
Jean Carlos Montaño
Nicolás Silva
🎯
Nicolás Silva
Carlo Diez
Carlo Diez
Iván Colman
Iván Colman
José Miguel Manzaneda
José Miguel Manzaneda
Facundo Callejo
Facundo Callejo
Matias Vega
Matias Vega
Jorge Toledo
Jorge Toledo
Pablo Míguez
Pablo Míguez
Matias Almiron
Matias Almiron
Fabio Agurto
Fabio Agurto
Christian Flores
Christian Flores
Erinson Ramirez
Erinson Ramirez
Alvaro Rojas
Alvaro Rojas
Nilton Ramirez
Nilton Ramirez
Chase Villanueva
Chase Villanueva
Janio Pósito
Janio Pósito
Cusco 4-1-4-1 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
28
Pedro Diaz
G
21
José Zevallos
D
8
Aldair Fuentes
↓ 11'
D
6
Alvaro Ampuero
D
3
Ricardo Lagos
D
55
Jean Carlos Montaño
↓ 57' 🟨 38'
M
26
Nicolás Silva
🎯 6'
M
14
Carlo Diez
↓ 73'
M
10
Iván Colman
↓ 73'
M
7
José Miguel Manzaneda
↓ 57'
M
9
Facundo Callejo
⚽ 6'
F
Substitutes
2
Carlos Gamarra
↑ 11'
D
99
Miguel Silveira
↑ 57'
M
16
Oswaldo Valenzuela
↑ 57'
M
88
Diego Soto
↑ 73'
M
11
Juan Tévez
↑ 73'
F
13
Andy Vidal
G
17
José Alí Gutiérrez
M
24
Marlon Ruidías
D
77
Joel Herrera
M
Juan Pablo II College 4-2-3-1 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
23
Matias Vega
G
31
Jorge Toledo
↓ 80'
D
60
Pablo Míguez
D
33
Matias Almiron
⚽ 30' 🟨 88'
D
26
Fabio Agurto
D
8
Christian Flores
🟨 90+5'
M
18
Erinson Ramirez
↓ 63'
M
37
Alvaro Rojas
M
15
Nilton Ramirez
↓ 87'
M
71
Chase Villanueva
M
89
Janio Pósito
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
79
Juan Pablo Goicochea
↑ 46'
F
50
Martín Alaníz
↑ 63'
M
97
Mateo Rodríguez
↑ 63'
F
16
Piero Anton
↑ 80'
D
7
Adán Henricks
↑ 87'
F
12
Ismael Quispe
G
13
Bairon Puño
M
14
Jack Carhuallanqui
M
4
Sthefano Luzquiños
M
Last matches: Cusco
07.08.26
Pri
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
1
3
L
01.08.26
Pri
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
4
1
W
25.07.26
Pri
Cusco
Universitario
1
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
4
1
W
30.05.26
Pri
Cusco
ADT
2
1
W
27.05.26
CON
Cusco
Flamengo
0
3
L
23.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
2
3
L
17.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Sport Boys
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
06.05.26
CON
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
2
2
D
01.05.26
CON
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cusco
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pri
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Cusco
Alianza Lima
0
8
L
14.04.26
CON
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
09.04.26
CON
Cusco
Flamengo
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Cusco
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
Last matches: Juan Pablo II College
08.08.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
02.08.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
25.07.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
2
0
W
17.07.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FC Cajamarca
2
2
D
30.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
4
L
22.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
1
4
L
26.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Boys
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
2
2
D
14.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
0
3
L
05.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
ADT
3
2
W
01.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
1
6
L
H2H: Cusco vs Juan Pablo II College
14.08.26
H2H
Cusco
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
01.03.26
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
2
1
L
22.08.25
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
0
0
D
06.04.25
H2H
Cusco
Juan Pablo II College
4
2
W
Last matches: Cusco
01.08.26
Pri
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
4
1
W
18.07.26
Pri
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
4
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
2
3
L
10.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
06.05.26
CON
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Cusco
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pri
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
09.04.26
CON
Cusco
Flamengo
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Cienciano
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
3
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Cusco
Universitario
1
1
D
H2H at home: Cusco
14.08.26
H2H
Cusco
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
06.04.25
H2H
Cusco
Juan Pablo II College
4
2
W
Last matches: Juan Pablo II College
02.08.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
17.07.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FC Cajamarca
2
2
D
30.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Boys
1
1
D
14.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
0
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
ADT
3
2
W
22.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
1
6
L
H2H away: Juan Pablo II College
14.08.26
H2H
Cusco
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
L
06.04.25
H2H
Cusco
Juan Pablo II College
4
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.02
Draw 5.61
Home 1.26
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.56
Draw 2.65
Home 1.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.25 1.35
Over 2.5 1.49
Over 2.75 1.62
Over 3.0 1.83
Over 3.25 2.08
Over 3.5 2.32
Over 3.75 2.68
Over 4.0 3.05
Under 2.25 2.98
Under 2.5 2.48
Under 2.75 2.23
Under 3.0 1.96
Under 3.25 1.71
Under 3.5 1.56
Under 3.75 1.43
Under 4.0 1.34
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 4.75
Home 1.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 2.75
Home 1.73
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 3.00
Home 1.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.53
Over 3.5 2.25
Over 4.5 4.00
Over 5.5 8.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Over 7.5 29.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 17.00
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.5 2.40
Under 3.5 1.57
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.85
Draw 5.30
Home 1.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.80
Draw 2.64
Home 1.74
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.58
Draw 3.12
Home 1.59
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 1.75 1.14
Over 2.0 1.17
Over 2.25 1.33
Over 2.5 1.47
Over 2.75 1.61
Over 3.0 1.77
Over 3.25 2.05
Over 3.5 2.31
Over 3.75 2.61
Over 4.0 3.18
Over 4.25 3.55
Over 4.5 3.82
Over 4.75 4.72
Over 5.0 6.40
Over 5.25 6.75
Over 5.5 7.10
Over 6.5 17.00
Over 7.5 29.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 14.90
Under 1.0 10.50
Under 1.5 4.85
Under 1.75 4.45
Under 2.0 3.98
Under 2.25 2.90
Under 2.5 2.35
Under 2.75 2.15
Under 3.0 1.89
Under 3.25 1.73
Under 3.5 1.58
Under 3.75 1.43
Under 4.0 1.28
Under 4.25 1.23
Under 4.5 1.19
Under 4.75 1.13
Under 5.0 1.05
Under 5.25 1.04
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 5.10
Home 1.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 2.80
Home 1.72
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 3.25
Home 1.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.0 1.17
Over 2.25 1.30
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 2.75 1.53
Over 3.0 1.67
Over 3.25 1.89
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 3.75 2.40
Over 4.0 2.90
Over 4.25 3.20
Over 4.5 3.45
Over 4.75 4.20
Over 5.0 5.40
Over 5.25 5.60
Over 5.5 5.80
Under 1.5 5.10
Under 2.0 4.30
Under 2.25 3.10
Under 2.5 2.55
Under 2.75 2.28
Under 3.0 2.02
Under 3.25 1.78
Under 3.5 1.63
Under 3.75 1.48
Under 4.0 1.34
Under 4.25 1.29
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 4.75 1.18
Under 5.0 1.10
Under 5.25 1.09
Under 5.5 1.09

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 3 2 0 9:5 4 11
W D W D W
2 5 3 1 1 9:4 5 10
W D W L W
3 5 3 1 1 10:6 4 10
W L D W W
4 5 3 1 1 5:2 3 10
D W W W L
5 5 3 1 1 8:7 1 10
W D L W W
6
Cusco Home
5 3 0 2 12:7 5 9
W L W L W
7 5 2 2 1 5:3 2 8
D D W W L
8 5 2 1 2 7:7 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
W D L L W
10 5 2 1 2 7:9 -2 7
D W L W L
11 5 2 1 2 6:9 -3 7
L D W L W
12 5 1 2 2 9:9 0 5
L W L D D
13 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
L D L W D
14 5 1 1 3 9:11 -2 4
L W L L D
15 5 0 4 1 3:5 -2 4
D L D D D
16 5 1 1 3 3:6 -3 4
D L W L L
17 5 0 2 3 3:7 -4 2
D D L L L
18 5 0 2 3 3:9 -6 2
L D L D L
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)