14.08.2026 23:00
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Referee: Daniel Ureta, Peru
Cusco
Match Timeline
Juan Pablo II College
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
F. Callejo · Assist: N. Silva
Cusco
🔄
11'
A. Fuentes ↔ C. Gamarra
Cusco
🟨
28'
Chase Villanueva
Juan Pablo II College
30'
M. Almiron
Cusco
🟨
38'
Jean Carlos Montaño
Cusco
🔄
46'
C. Villanueva ↔ J. P. Goicochea Del Carpio
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
57'
J. Manzaneda ↔ Miguel Silveira
Cusco
🔄
57'
C. Montano ↔ O. Valenzuela
Cusco
🔄
63'
J. Posito ↔ M. Rodriguez
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
63'
E. Ramirez ↔ M. Alaniz
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
73'
C. Diez ↔ D. Soto
Cusco
🔄
73'
I. Colman ↔ J. Tevez
Cusco
🔄
80'
J. Toledo ↔ P. Anton
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
87'
N. Ramirez ↔ A. Henricks
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
88'
Matias Almiron
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
90+5'
Christian Flores
Juan Pablo II College

Cusco vs Juan Pablo II College Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.8%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cusco Win 82.8%
Draw 5%
Juan Pablo II College Win 12.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cusco1.57
Juan Pablo II College1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cusco Cusco
WWDLW
36 GF / 44 GA
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
WLDWL
29 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
2
18
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
14
4.19
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cusco Cusco 28 matches
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 22 matches
Cusco Statistic Juan Pablo II College
10 Wins 6
5 Draws 6
13 Losses 10
36 Goals For 29
44 Goals Against 44
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 2
18 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 6
4.19 Shots On Goal 3.29
11.19 Total Shots 9.29
3.37 Corners 3.86
55.1% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Juan Pablo II College. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cusco expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Juan Pablo II College in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juan Pablo II College having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Cusco arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 27 points compared to Juan Pablo II College in 18 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cusco Analysis

So far, Cusco have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 27 points from 17 matches. The record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 21:24 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Facundo Callejo (5 goals), Iván Colman (3 goals), José Miguel Manzaneda (2 goals), with creative support from Lucas Colitto (4 assists), Facundo Callejo (2 assists), Iván Colman (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Juan Pablo II College Analysis

Juan Pablo II College sit 18 with 16 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 22:40 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Martín Alaníz (2 goals), Josue Torres (2 goals), Erinson Ramirez (1 goals), with creative support from Martín Alaníz (2 assists), Erinson Ramirez (1 assists), Cristhian Tizón (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Cusco won 2 times, Juan Pablo II College won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Cusco's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Cusco 4-1-4-1 / Juan Pablo II College 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cusco wins 2, draws 1, Juan Pablo II College wins 1

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5
Cusco Home
26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 26 10 7 9 38:34 4 37
L W W W D
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 25:28 -3 32
W L W W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2