10.05.2026 22:30
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Referee: Kevin Ortega, Peru
Cusco
Match Timeline
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
39'
F. Callejo ↔ J. Tevez
Cusco
46'
J. Tevez
Cusco
🟨
61'
Oshiro Takeuchi
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
63'
A. Quintana ↔ J. Quintero
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
63'
O. Takeuchi ↔ K. Barrios
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🟨
64'
Carlos Pimienta
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🟨
68'
Oswaldo Valenzuela
Cusco
🔄
71'
J. Manzaneda ↔ N. Silva
Cusco
🔄
72'
I. Colman ↔ G. Carabajal
Cusco
🔄
72'
O. Valenzuela ↔ C. Diez
Cusco
🔄
73'
A. Quiroz ↔ K. Sanchez
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🟨
76'
Kelvin Sánchez
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
82'
D. Gonzales ↔ B. Guevara
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
82'
A. Ayarza ↔ F. E. Espinoza Vega
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🟨
84'
Gabriel Carabajal
Cusco
🔄
84'
L. Colitto ↔ Herrera Joel
Cusco
90'
M. Torres · Assist: F. E. Espinoza Vega
Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Cusco vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
46.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cusco Win 37%
Draw 11.1%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Win 51.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cusco1.13
Club Deportivo Los Chankas1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cusco Cusco
WWDLW
20 GF / 28 GA
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas
WLDWL
21 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
11
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
6
4.06
Shots on Goal
4.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cusco Cusco 18 matches
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 13 matches
Cusco Statistic Club Deportivo Los Chankas
6 Wins 9
4 Draws 2
8 Losses 2
20 Goals For 21
28 Goals Against 15
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
11 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 9
9 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 2
4.06 Shots On Goal 4.77
11.41 Total Shots 12.08
3.18 Corners 4.15
56.2% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Club Deportivo Los Chankas's more proactive style and Cusco's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Club Deportivo Los Chankas. Club Deportivo Los Chankas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 29 points while Cusco sit 6 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cusco expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Club Deportivo Los Chankas in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Deportivo Los Chankas having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Cusco Analysis

So far, Cusco have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 20 points from 13 matches. The record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 17:21 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Facundo Callejo (8 goals), G. Carabajal (2 goals), Iván Colman (2 goals), with creative support from J. Manzaneda (4 assists), M. Ruidias (2 assists), Iván Colman (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas Analysis

Club Deportivo Los Chankas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 29 points after 13 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a 21:15 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on F. Torres (6 goals), Abdiel Ayarza (5 goals), M. Torres (2 goals), with creative support from A. Quintana (3 assists), M. Torres (2 assists), Adrián Quiroz (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Cusco won 3 times, Club Deportivo Los Chankas won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:11 from Cusco's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Cusco 4-4-1-1 / Club Deportivo Los Chankas 5-3-2
H2H summary: Cusco wins 3, draws 3, Club Deportivo Los Chankas wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5
Cusco Home
26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 26 10 7 9 38:34 4 37
L W W W D
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 25:28 -3 32
W L W W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2