PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Referee: Jesus Cartagena, Peru
Cusco
Match Timeline
Atletico Grau
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
José Zevallos
Cusco
🟨
33'
Nicolás Silva
Cusco
🔄
38'
Herrera Joel ↔ L. Colitto
Cusco
🟨
47'
Iván Colman
Cusco
🟨
51'
Rafael Guarderas
Atletico Grau
🔄
64'
N. Silva ↔ J. Manzaneda
Cusco
🔄
65'
D. Soto ↔ G. Carabajal
Cusco
🔄
67'
P. de la Cruz ↔ Y. Ruidiaz
Atletico Grau
🟨
69'
Rodrigo Tapia
Atletico Grau
🔄
71'
A. de la Cruz ↔ E. Rodas
Atletico Grau
🔄
71'
G. E. Alfaro Martinez ↔ E. Correa
Atletico Grau
🔄
84'
C. Neira ↔ E. Franco
Atletico Grau
🔄
84'
R. Ruidiaz ↔ N. Delgadillo
Atletico Grau
🟨
85'
Aamet Calderón
Atletico Grau
🔄
87'
J. Tevez ↔ J. D. Ali Gutierrez
Cusco
🟨
90+4'
Diego Rodriguez
Atletico Grau
90'
J. Manzaneda · Assist: J. D. Ali Gutierrez
Cusco

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cusco Win 72.5%
Draw 0%
Atletico Grau Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cusco1.11
Atletico Grau1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cusco Cusco
WWDLW
23 GF / 33 GA
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau
WLDWL
11 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
0.73
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
13
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
5
4.3
Shots on Goal
3.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cusco Cusco 21 matches
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 15 matches
Cusco Statistic Atletico Grau
6 Wins 3
5 Draws 4
10 Losses 8
23 Goals For 11
33 Goals Against 17
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
13 BTTS Yes 5
15 Over 1.5 7
10 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 8
4.3 Shots On Goal 3.93
11.55 Total Shots 11.27
3.55 Corners 4.4
56.1% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Atletico Grau arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cusco expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Atletico Grau in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Grau having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico Grau. Cusco arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 21 points compared to Atletico Grau in 18 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Cusco Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Cusco have collected 21 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 18:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Facundo Callejo (8 goals), G. Carabajal (2 goals), Iván Colman (2 goals), with creative support from J. Manzaneda (4 assists), M. Ruidias (2 assists), Iván Colman (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Grau Analysis

Atletico Grau approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 13 points from 15 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 11:17, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Ruidiaz (3 goals), Isaac Camargo (2 goals), A. Vasquez (1 goals), with creative support from C. Neira (2 assists), Rafael Guarderas (2 assists), Elsar Rodas (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Cusco won 2 times, Atletico Grau won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:9 from Cusco's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Cusco 4-1-4-1 / Atletico Grau 3-4-3
H2H summary: Cusco wins 2, draws 4, Atletico Grau wins 3
Stats
Cusco Cusco
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 2
7 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 3
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 1
7 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 3
9 Shots outsidebox 6
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
557 Total passes 250
500 Passes accurate 185
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cusco
Formation
Atletico Grau
P. Diaz
P. Diaz
M. Ruidias
M. Ruidias
G. Choi
G. Choi
A. Ampuero
A. Ampuero
J. Zevallos
J. Zevallos
O. Valenzuela
O. Valenzuela
Herrera Joel
Herrera Joel
D. Soto
D. Soto
I. Colman
I. Colman
N. Silva
N. Silva
J. Tevez
J. Tevez
A. Calderon
A. Calderon
D. Rodriguez
D. Rodriguez
R. Tapia
R. Tapia
L. Acevedo
L. Acevedo
I. Tapia
I. Tapia
G. E. Alfaro Martinez
G. E. Alfaro Martinez
P. de la Cruz
P. de la Cruz
A. de la Cruz
A. de la Cruz
R. Guarderas
R. Guarderas
C. Neira
C. Neira
R. Ruidiaz
R. Ruidiaz
Cusco 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
28
P. Diaz
G
24
M. Ruidias
D
37
G. Choi
D
6
A. Ampuero
D
21
J. Zevallos
🟨 27'
D
16
O. Valenzuela
M
77
Herrera Joel
↓ 38'
M
88
D. Soto
↓ 65'
M
10
I. Colman
🟨 47'
M
26
N. Silva
↓ 64' 🟨 33'
M
11
J. Tevez
↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
13
A. Vidal
G
27
G. Carabajal
↑ 65'
M
14
C. Diez
M
15
J. Bolivar
D
2
C. Gamarra
D
7
J. Manzaneda
⚽ 90' ↑ 64'
F
22
L. Colitto
↑ 38'
M
32
J. Astudillo
D
17
J. D. Ali Gutierrez
🎯 90' ↑ 87'
Atletico Grau 5-4-1
Starting XI
33
A. Calderon
🟨 85'
G
4
D. Rodriguez
🟨 90+4'
D
27
R. Tapia
🟨 69'
D
2
L. Acevedo
D
3
I. Tapia
D
25
G. E. Alfaro Martinez
↓ 71'
D
10
P. de la Cruz
↓ 67'
M
66
A. de la Cruz
↓ 71'
M
5
R. Guarderas
🟨 51'
M
22
C. Neira
↓ 84'
M
9
R. Ruidiaz
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
12
A. Fuentes
G
29
E. Franco
↑ 84'
M
6
E. Rodas
↑ 71'
D
11
N. Delgadillo
↑ 84'
F
19
I. Camargo
F
24
Y. Ruidiaz
↑ 67'
F
16
J. Ataupillco
D
20
A. Vasquez
M
21
E. Correa
↑ 71'
M
Last matches: Cusco
30.05.26
Pri
Cusco
ADT
2
1
W
27.05.26
CON
Cusco
Flamengo
0
3
L
21.05.26
CON
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
2
3
L
17.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Sport Boys
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
06.05.26
CON
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
2
2
D
01.05.26
CON
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cusco
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pri
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Cusco
Alianza Lima
0
8
L
14.04.26
CON
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
09.04.26
CON
Cusco
Flamengo
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Cusco
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Cienciano
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
3
1
W
13.02.26
Pri
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
0
1
L
Last matches: Atletico Grau
29.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Universitario
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
ADT
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
4
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
1
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
0
2
L
H2H: Cusco vs Atletico Grau
23.05.26
H2H
Cusco
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
25.10.25
H2H
Cusco
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
19.06.25
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cusco
0
0
D
07.03.25
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cusco
0
0
D
28.10.24
H2H
Cusco
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
17.05.24
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cusco
4
0
L
21.09.23
H2H
Cusco
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
29.04.23
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cusco
3
0
L
31.10.20
H2H
Cusco
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
10.10.20
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cusco
1
1
D
Last matches: Cusco
21.05.26
CON
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
2
3
L
10.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
06.05.26
CON
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Cusco
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pri
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
09.04.26
CON
Cusco
Flamengo
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Cienciano
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
3
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Cusco
Universitario
1
1
D
H2H at home: Cusco
23.05.26
H2H
Cusco
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
25.10.25
H2H
Cusco
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
28.10.24
H2H
Cusco
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
21.09.23
H2H
Cusco
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
31.10.20
H2H
Cusco
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
Last matches: Atletico Grau
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Universitario
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
ADT
0
1
L
17.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
L
30.01.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
0
2
L
H2H away: Atletico Grau
23.05.26
H2H
Cusco
Atletico Grau
1
0
L
25.10.25
H2H
Cusco
Atletico Grau
1
0
L
28.10.24
H2H
Cusco
Atletico Grau
0
1
W
21.09.23
H2H
Cusco
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
31.10.20
H2H
Cusco
Atletico Grau
0
0
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
D W W D W
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
D L W D L
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
W D L W W
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
W D L D W
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
W D W D W
6
Cusco Home
17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
W W L D D
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
W D W W W
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
L D W L W
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
L D L D L
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
L L W D W
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
W D W D L
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
L W L D D
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
D D L L L
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
L D L D L
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
D D W W W
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
W L W L L
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
L D L W L
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
L D L L L