11.10.2026 23:30

Cusco

1 - 2

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Referee: J. Alarcon

Cusco vs Alianza Lima H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats

Cusco

Match Timeline

Alianza Lima

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

⚽

🟨

🟥

🔄

⚽

🔄

⚽

🔄

Cusco vs Alianza Lima Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 58.5%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 78.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 64.5%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	58.5%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	78.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	64.5%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Cusco Win 58.5%

Draw 4.2%

Alianza Lima Win 37.4%

Expected Goals (xG)

Cusco1.09

Alianza Lima1.52

Recent Form (Last 5)

Cusco

W L W W L

7 GF / 7 GA

Alianza Lima

L W L D L

5 GF / 6 GA

Key Stats

1.32

Average Goals Scored

1.53

1.5

Average Goals Conceded

0.75

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.27

Shots on Goal

5.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cusco 34 matches

Alianza Lima 32 matches

Cusco	Statistic	Alianza Lima
14	Wins	17
5	Draws	9
15	Losses	6
45	Goals For	49
51	Goals Against	24
1.32	Avg Goals Scored	1.53
1.5	Avg Goals Conceded	0.75
21	BTTS Yes	16
26	Over 1.5	22
19	Over 2.5	12
9	Over 3.5	4
5	Clean Sheets	12
8	Failed To Score	5
4.27	Shots On Goal	5.03
11.88	Total Shots	15.97
3.85	Corners	4.72
54.8%	Ball Possession	57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Cusco won 4 times, Alianza Lima won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:19 from Cusco's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)

Predicted formations: Cusco 4-1-4-1 / Alianza Lima 4-4-2

H2H summary: Cusco wins 4, draws 3, Alianza Lima wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Alianza Lima Away	31	19	8	4	52:23	29	65	L W W W W
2	Universitario	31	17	8	6	55:35	20	59	W W W D L
3	FBC Melgar	32	15	9	8	54:37	17	54	L D W W D
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	32	16	6	10	50:35	15	54	W L W L L
5	Cusco Home	32	16	3	13	46:44	2	51	L W W L L
6	Sporting Cristal	32	15	5	12	62:47	15	50	W W L W W
7	Cienciano	31	15	5	11	53:43	10	50	W L W W D
8	Alianza Atletico	32	14	7	11	49:46	3	49	W W L L W
9	Sport Huancayo	32	14	5	13	46:48	-2	47	W L W W W
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	32	13	8	11	39:51	-12	47	D L L W D
11	Sport Boys	31	12	8	11	35:33	2	44	W W L L D
12	Juan Pablo II College	32	11	8	13	47:57	-10	41	L W L W D
13	Comerciantes Unidos	32	8	12	12	44:47	-3	36	D D W L D
14	Atletico Grau	32	9	7	16	29:41	-12	34	L L D L D
15	ADT	32	7	10	15	35:47	-12	31	D W D L D
16	UCV Moquegua	32	7	8	17	25:46	-21	29	D L L W L
17	FC Cajamarca	32	7	7	18	44:65	-21	28	L L L L D
18	UTC Cajamarca	32	5	8	19	38:58	-20	18	L W L L L

Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)

Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)

Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)

Relegation - Liga 2