PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Referee: J. Alarcon
Cusco
Match Timeline
Alianza Atletico
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
J. Manzaneda · Assist: L. Colitto
Cusco
🟨
30'
José Miguel Manzaneda
Cusco
🟨
30'
Williams Guzmán
Alianza Atletico
33'
I. Colman · Assist: F. Callejo
Cusco
🔄
46'
H. Lupu ↔ C. Penilla
Alianza Atletico
🔄
46'
G. A. Larios Saavedra ↔ J. Ingratti
Alianza Atletico
🔄
46'
J. Perez ↔ F. Flores
Alianza Atletico
VAR
58'
Cristian Penilla
Alianza Atletico
58'
C. Penilla
Alianza Atletico
🔄
59'
J. Manzaneda ↔ Miguel Silveira
Cusco
🔄
71'
L. Colitto ↔ N. Silva
Cusco
🔄
71'
C. Diez ↔ O. Valenzuela
Cusco
🔄
79'
A. Munoz ↔ J. Molina
Alianza Atletico
81'
F. Callejo · Assist: I. Colman
Cusco
84'
N. Silva · Assist: F. Callejo
Cusco
🔄
86'
D. Soto ↔ C. Gamarra
Cusco
🔄
86'
I. Colman ↔ J. Tevez
Cusco
🔄
87'
J. del Castillo ↔ R. Suarez
Alianza Atletico

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 67.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
67.2%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cusco Win 46.9%
Draw 20.3%
Alianza Atletico Win 32.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cusco1.12
Alianza Atletico1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cusco Cusco
WWDLW
26 GF / 37 GA
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
WLDWL
20 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
14
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
8
4.13
Shots on Goal
4.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cusco Cusco 24 matches
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 18 matches
Cusco Statistic Alianza Atletico
8 Wins 5
5 Draws 6
11 Losses 7
26 Goals For 20
37 Goals Against 21
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
14 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 6
4.13 Shots On Goal 4.82
11.17 Total Shots 13.24
3.35 Corners 3.24
54.9% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Alianza Atletico's more proactive style and Cusco's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Alianza Atletico. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cusco expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Alianza Atletico in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alianza Atletico having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cusco Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Cusco have collected 27 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 21:24 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by Facundo Callejo (8 goals), Iván Colman (3 goals), Juan Tévez (3 goals), with creative support from J. Manzaneda (4 assists), L. Colitto (2 assists), M. Ruidias (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Alianza Atletico Analysis

Alianza Atletico sit 8 with 21 points after 17 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 20:18 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by C. Penilla (3 goals), Franco Coronel (3 goals), V. Robaldo (3 goals), with creative support from C. Penilla (2 assists), Franco Coronel (2 assists), Ariel Muñoz (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Cusco won 6 times, Alianza Atletico won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:8 from Cusco's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.78 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.7%)
Predicted formations: Cusco 4-1-4-1 / Alianza Atletico 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cusco wins 6, draws 1, Alianza Atletico wins 2
Stats
Cusco Cusco
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
8 Corner Kicks 2
11 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 1
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Goal 6
8 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 5
16 Shots insidebox 7
2 Shots outsidebox 7
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
522 Total passes 376
455 Passes accurate 307
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cusco
Formation
Alianza Atletico
P. Diaz
P. Diaz
J. Zevallos
J. Zevallos
A. Fuentes
A. Fuentes
A. Ampuero
A. Ampuero
R. Lagos
R. Lagos
C. Diez
C. Diez
D. Soto
D. Soto
L. Colitto
🎯
L. Colitto
I. Colman
🎯
I. Colman
J. Manzaneda
J. Manzaneda
F. Callejo
🎯
F. Callejo
S. Rivadeneyra
S. Rivadeneyra
E. Perleche
E. Perleche
W. Guzman
W. Guzman
J. Lujan
J. Lujan
A. Gordillo
A. Gordillo
H. Lupu
H. Lupu
G. Diaz
G. Diaz
J. Perez
J. Perez
A. Munoz
A. Munoz
G. A. Larios Saavedra
G. A. Larios Saavedra
J. del Castillo
J. del Castillo
Cusco 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
28
P. Diaz
G
21
J. Zevallos
D
8
A. Fuentes
D
6
A. Ampuero
D
3
R. Lagos
D
14
C. Diez
↓ 71'
M
88
D. Soto
↓ 86'
M
22
L. Colitto
🎯 21' ↓ 71'
M
10
I. Colman
⚽ 33' 🎯 81' ↓ 86'
M
7
J. Manzaneda
⚽ 21' ↓ 59' 🟨 30'
M
9
F. Callejo
⚽ 81' 🎯 33' 🎯 84'
F
Substitutes
13
A. Vidal
G
26
N. Silva
⚽ 84' ↑ 71'
F
15
J. Bolivar
D
55
C. Montano
M
37
G. Choi
D
2
C. Gamarra
↑ 86'
D
11
J. Tevez
↑ 86'
F
99
Miguel Silveira
↑ 59'
M
16
O. Valenzuela
↑ 71'
M
Alianza Atletico 4-3-3
Starting XI
31
S. Rivadeneyra
G
21
E. Perleche
D
25
W. Guzman
🟨 30'
D
6
J. Lujan
D
24
A. Gordillo
D
15
H. Lupu
↓ 46'
M
10
G. Diaz
M
20
J. Perez
↓ 46'
M
23
A. Munoz
↓ 79'
F
11
G. A. Larios Saavedra
↓ 46'
F
22
J. del Castillo
↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
95
D. Prieto
G
17
C. Penilla
⚽ 58' ↑ 46'
M
29
J. Molina
↑ 79'
F
19
J. Mendieta
D
27
J. Ingratti
↑ 46'
F
8
F. Flores
↑ 46'
M
99
M. Barreda
F
77
C. Valladolid
2
R. Suarez
↑ 87'
D
Last matches: Cusco
25.07.26
Pri
Cusco
Universitario
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Cusco
ADT
2
1
W
27.05.26
CON
Cusco
Flamengo
0
3
L
23.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
2
3
L
17.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Sport Boys
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
06.05.26
CON
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
2
2
D
01.05.26
CON
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cusco
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pri
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Cusco
Alianza Lima
0
8
L
14.04.26
CON
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
09.04.26
CON
Cusco
Flamengo
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Cusco
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Cienciano
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
Last matches: Alianza Atletico
24.07.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
1
3
L
24.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Sport Huancayo
4
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Sport Boys
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Atletico Grau
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
1
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
ADT
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
0
3
L
H2H: Cusco vs Alianza Atletico
18.07.26
H2H
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
4
1
W
01.02.26
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
1
0
L
17.08.25
H2H
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
28.03.25
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
2
4
W
15.08.24
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
1
1
D
07.03.24
H2H
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
2
0
W
22.07.23
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
2
0
L
19.02.23
H2H
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
2
1
W
08.08.21
H2H
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
3
0
W
Last matches: Cusco
23.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
2
3
L
10.05.26
Pri
Cusco
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
06.05.26
CON
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Cusco
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pri
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
09.04.26
CON
Cusco
Flamengo
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Cienciano
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
3
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Cusco
Universitario
1
1
D
H2H at home: Cusco
18.07.26
H2H
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
4
1
W
17.08.25
H2H
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
07.03.24
H2H
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
2
0
W
19.02.23
H2H
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
2
1
W
08.08.21
H2H
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
3
0
W
Last matches: Alianza Atletico
31.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
1
3
L
16.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
1
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
0
3
L
H2H away: Alianza Atletico
18.07.26
H2H
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
4
1
L
17.08.25
H2H
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
1
0
L
07.03.24
H2H
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
2
0
L
19.02.23
H2H
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
2
1
L
08.08.21
H2H
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
3
0
L

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
D W D W W
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
L W D L W
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
L L W D L
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
W W W D L
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
W W W D W
6
Cusco Home
17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
L W W W L
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
W L W D W
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
W L L D W
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
D D L D L
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
L L L L W
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
W L W D W
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
L W L W L
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
D L D D L
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
D D L D L
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
L D D D W
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
L W W L W
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
W L L D L
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
W D L D L
Play-offs