CHILE PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Bicentenario La Granja
Curico Unido
Live Timeline
Union San Felipe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
R. Colombo
Curico Unido
🟨
44'
V. Perales
Union San Felipe

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.81
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
67.4%
1.18
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.81
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.00
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.45
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Curico Unido Win 36.3%
Draw 31.2%
Union San Felipe Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Curico Unido1.3
Union San Felipe1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Curico Unido Curico Unido
WWDLW
29 GF / 40 GA
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe
WLDWL
21 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
16
BTTS Yes
10
14
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Curico Unido Curico Unido 27 matches
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 26 matches
Curico Unido Statistic Union San Felipe
7 Wins 7
11 Draws 6
9 Losses 13
29 Goals For 21
40 Goals Against 43
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
16 BTTS Yes 10
19 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union San Felipe having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Union San Felipe.

Curico Unido Analysis

Curico Unido are currently 13 in the standings with 20 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 18:28 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union San Felipe Analysis

Union San Felipe approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 20 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats with a 15:34 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Curico Unido won 2 times, Union San Felipe won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:7 from Curico Unido's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (68.8%)
H2H summary: Curico Unido wins 2, draws 1, Union San Felipe wins 2
Last matches: Curico Unido
17.08.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Copiapo
0
4
L
14.08.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
2
L
09.08.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Rangers de Talca
0
0
D
04.08.26
Cop
Curico Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
3
1
W
01.08.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Cobreloa
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
Curico Unido
San Luis
1
2
L
05.07.26
Cop
Curico Unido
Nublense
2
2
D
28.06.26
Cop
Curico Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
2
2
D
21.06.26
Cop
Curico Unido
Nublense
1
0
W
08.06.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Temuco
1
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Antofagasta
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Santiago Wanderers
0
3
L
12.05.26
Pri
Curico Unido
San Marcos de Arica
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Union Espanola
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Curico Unido
D. Puerto Montt
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Recoleta
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Union San Felipe
0
0
D
28.03.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Copiapo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Santa Cruz
2
4
L
Last matches: Union San Felipe
16.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Cobreloa
0
1
L
13.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Recoleta
0
0
D
05.08.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
01.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Antofagasta
1
5
L
25.07.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
0
2
L
04.07.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
1
1
D
28.06.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Universidad de Chile
0
2
L
21.06.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
2
0
W
08.06.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Union Espanola
2
2
D
30.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
D. Puerto Montt
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Temuco
0
5
L
16.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Rangers de Talca
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Copiapo
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
San Luis
0
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Magallanes
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Curico Unido
0
0
D
29.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Cobreloa
0
2
L
23.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
H2H: Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe
11.04.26
H2H
Union San Felipe
Curico Unido
0
0
D
06.09.25
H2H
Union San Felipe
Curico Unido
4
2
L
03.05.25
H2H
Curico Unido
Union San Felipe
3
0
W
14.07.24
H2H
Union San Felipe
Curico Unido
3
1
L
24.02.24
H2H
Curico Unido
Union San Felipe
2
0
W
Last matches: Curico Unido
14.08.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Cobreloa
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
Curico Unido
San Luis
1
2
L
28.06.26
Cop
Curico Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
2
2
D
21.06.26
Cop
Curico Unido
Nublense
1
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Antofagasta
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Santiago Wanderers
0
3
L
12.05.26
Pri
Curico Unido
San Marcos de Arica
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Curico Unido
D. Puerto Montt
2
1
W
28.03.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Copiapo
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
23.02.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Magallanes
1
2
L
01.02.26
Cop
Curico Unido
Rangers de Talca
0
1
L
09.07.25
Cop
Curico Unido
A. Italiano
0
1
L
08.06.25
Cop
Curico Unido
Universidad de Chile
2
1
W
10.05.25
Cop
Curico Unido
Nublense
2
1
W
05.04.25
Cop
Curico Unido
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
08.02.25
Cop
Curico Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
23.06.24
Cop
Curico Unido
Magallanes
1
0
W
21.08.22
Cop
Curico Unido
Antofagasta
2
1
W
H2H at home: Curico Unido
03.05.25
H2H
Curico Unido
Union San Felipe
3
0
W
24.02.24
H2H
Curico Unido
Union San Felipe
2
0
W
Last matches: Union San Felipe
13.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
01.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Antofagasta
1
5
L
25.07.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
0
2
L
28.06.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Universidad de Chile
0
2
L
21.06.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
2
0
W
08.06.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Union Espanola
2
2
D
24.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Temuco
0
5
L
10.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Copiapo
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
San Luis
0
4
L
19.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Cobreloa
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Recoleta
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Iquique
0
5
L
07.02.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
1
3
L
12.05.25
Cop
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
1
0
W
12.02.25
Cop
Union San Felipe
Colo Colo
0
4
L
04.02.25
Cop
Union San Felipe
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
15.06.24
Cop
Union San Felipe
D. Melipilla
0
1
L
01.07.23
Cop
Union San Felipe
Everton de Vina
1
5
L
25.06.22
Cop
Union San Felipe
U. Catolica
0
3
L
H2H away: Union San Felipe
03.05.25
H2H
Curico Unido
Union San Felipe
3
0
L
24.02.24
H2H
Curico Unido
Union San Felipe
2
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.83
Draw 3.43
Home 1.85
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.75 1.37
Over 2.0 1.48
Over 2.25 1.74
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 2.75 2.29
Over 3.0 2.83
Over 3.25 3.20
Under 1.75 2.91
Under 2.0 2.52
Under 2.25 2.04
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 2.75 1.59
Under 3.0 1.39
Under 3.25 1.31
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 3.25
Home 1.85
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.20
Home 2.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.95
Under 2.5 1.85
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.98
Draw 3.32
Home 1.83
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.84
Draw 2.05
Home 2.44
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.18
Draw 2.43
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.03
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.16
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 1.75 1.35
Over 2.0 1.46
Over 2.25 1.73
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 2.75 2.17
Over 3.0 2.62
Over 3.25 2.92
Over 3.5 3.28
Over 3.75 4.00
Over 4.0 5.50
Over 4.25 5.80
Over 4.5 6.15
Over 5.5 15.00
Under 0.5 8.10
Under 0.75 7.50
Under 1.0 6.95
Under 1.25 4.14
Under 1.5 3.08
Under 1.75 2.74
Under 2.0 2.38
Under 2.25 1.99
Under 2.5 1.76
Under 2.75 1.55
Under 3.0 1.38
Under 3.25 1.31
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 3.75 1.17
Under 4.0 1.08
Under 4.25 1.07
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.5 1.02
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 3.25
Home 1.83
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.17
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.5 1.92
Over 3.5 3.25
Under 1.5 3.05
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 3.5 1.26

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 10 8 3 38:23 15 38
L W D D D
2 20 9 8 3 36:21 15 35
D D D W W
3 21 10 5 6 37:35 2 35
W W D W W
4 21 10 4 7 29:27 2 34
W W W L L
5 20 8 8 4 31:25 6 32
W D D D W
6 20 8 7 5 33:21 12 31
D D W W L
7 21 9 4 8 22:24 -2 31
L D L D W
8 21 7 9 5 25:18 7 30
L L L D D
9 21 8 6 7 32:31 1 30
W D W D L
10 21 8 6 7 31:31 0 30
L W L D W
11 21 5 10 6 31:26 5 25
W D W D D
12 20 6 7 7 32:29 3 25
D D L L L
13 20 4 8 8 18:32 -14 20
L L D D L
14 20 5 5 10 15:35 -20 20
L W D L L
15 21 3 7 11 24:37 -13 16
L L W D L
16 21 1 6 14 18:37 -19 9
W L L D D