02.05.2026 14:15
Estadio Municipal Reino de León
Referee: S. Lax
Cultural Leonesa
Match Timeline
Cadiz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Iker Recio
Cadiz
🟨
4'
Víctor García
Cultural Leonesa
43'
V. Moreno · Assist: R. Tresaco
Cultural Leonesa
45'
A. Cordero · Assist: Suso
Cadiz
🔄
59'
R. Tresaco ↔ I. Calero
Cultural Leonesa
🔄
68'
N. Radoja ↔ S. Maestre
Cultural Leonesa
🔄
68'
R. Sobrino ↔ L. Ribeiro
Cultural Leonesa
🟨
73'
Moussa Diakité
Cadiz
🔄
78'
L. Perez ↔ B. Ocampo
Cadiz
🔄
78'
A. Pascual ↔ D. Camara
Cadiz
80'
A. Cordero · Assist: J. Gonzalez
Cadiz
🔄
83'
M. Climent ↔ S. Arribas
Cadiz
🔄
84'
V. Moreno ↔ R. Hinojo
Cultural Leonesa
🔄
85'
V. Garcia ↔ D. Collado
Cultural Leonesa
🟨
89'
Suso
Cadiz
🔄
89'
Suso ↔ S. Ortuno
Cadiz
🟨
90+5'
Lucas Ribeiro
Cultural Leonesa
90'
S. Maestre · Assist: Bicho
Cultural Leonesa

Cultural Leonesa vs Cadiz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 75.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 37.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 26%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
75.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
37.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
26%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cultural Leonesa Win 24.5%
Draw 33.7%
Cadiz Win 41.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cultural Leonesa1.23
Cadiz1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
WWDLW
44 GF / 67 GA
Cadiz Cadiz
WLDWL
39 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
20
BTTS Yes
19
21
Over 2.5
21
4.15
Shots on Goal
2.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 41 matches
Cadiz Cadiz 39 matches
Cultural Leonesa Statistic Cadiz
11 Wins 11
8 Draws 8
22 Losses 20
44 Goals For 39
67 Goals Against 57
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
20 BTTS Yes 19
27 Over 1.5 26
21 Over 2.5 21
12 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 10
16 Failed To Score 14
4.15 Shots On Goal 2.95
11.22 Total Shots 9.67
3.56 Corners 4.36
45.9% Ball Possession 43.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cadiz. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cultural Leonesa expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cadiz in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cadiz having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Cultural Leonesa Analysis

Cultural Leonesa sit 22 with 32 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 21 losses, together with goals at 33:60, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through L. Chacon (8 goals), M. Justo (5 goals), D. Collado (3 goals), with creative support from I. Calero (5 assists), L. Chacon (3 assists), Rafa Tresaco (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cadiz Analysis

With 38 points from 37 games and a place of 18, Cadiz still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 34:53 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on I. Tabatadze (6 goals), B. Ocampo (5 goals), Dawda Camara (5 goals), with creative support from A. Pascual (6 assists), S. Ortuno (4 assists), Mario Climent (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Cultural Leonesa won 1 times, Cadiz won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Cultural Leonesa's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (75.5%)
Predicted formations: Cultural Leonesa 4-2-3-1 / Cadiz 4-4-2
H2H summary: Cultural Leonesa wins 1, draws 2, Cadiz wins 1

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18
Cadiz Away
42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation