BRAZIL SERIE B
19.08.2026 23:30
Arena Pantanal
Referee: Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos, Brazil
Cuiaba
Match Timeline
Operario-PR
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Vágner
Operario-PR
🔄
13'
Vagner ↔ Elias Curzel
Operario-PR
🟨
19'
Gabriel Boschilia
Operario-PR
🟨
27'
Pepê
Cuiaba
🔄
46'
Eliel ↔ Kauan Cristtyan
Cuiaba
🟨
51'
Raul
Cuiaba
🔄
61'
David Miguel ↔ Wesley Dias
Cuiaba
🔄
61'
Jean Dias ↔ Rodrigo Rodrigues
Cuiaba
🔄
61'
H. Pedro ↔ Fabio Gomes
Cuiaba
🟨
66'
Kauan Cristtyan
Cuiaba
🔄
67'
Moraes ↔ A. Torres
Operario-PR
🔄
67'
Pablo ↔ Vinicius Mingotti
Operario-PR
74'
Wesley Dias · Assist: Fabio Gomes
Cuiaba
🔄
79'
Pepe ↔ Luis Soares
Cuiaba
🔄
82'
H. Pereira ↔ Maxwell
Operario-PR
🔄
82'
Vinicius Diniz ↔ Pedro Vilhena
Operario-PR

Cuiaba vs Operario-PR Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.3%
-
BTTS Yes
78.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cuiaba Win 35.4%
Draw 14.4%
Operario-PR Win 50.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cuiaba1.06
Operario-PR1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WWDLW
19 GF / 17 GA
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WLDWL
30 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
8
BTTS Yes
13
4
Over 2.5
15
4.32
Shots on Goal
4.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cuiaba Cuiaba 22 matches
Operario-PR Operario-PR 22 matches
Cuiaba Statistic Operario-PR
6 Wins 10
11 Draws 5
5 Losses 7
19 Goals For 30
17 Goals Against 30
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
8 BTTS Yes 13
12 Over 1.5 16
4 Over 2.5 15
3 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 4
4.32 Shots On Goal 4.55
12.77 Total Shots 14.36
5.14 Corners 5.14
48% Ball Possession 52.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Operario-PR's more proactive style and Cuiaba's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Operario-PR in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Operario-PR having the stronger overall control. Operario-PR carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 35 points while Cuiaba sit 15 on 26, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Operario-PR.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 26 points from 21 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 11 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 16:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on João Basso (2 goals), Hernandes (2 goals), Pepê (1 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), Eliel (2 assists), João Basso (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Operario-PR Analysis

Operario-PR come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 35 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 29:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gabriel Boschilia (9 goals), Pablo (5 goals), Vinicius Diniz (3 goals), with creative support from Mikael Doka (3 assists), Aylon (2 assists), Gabriel Feliciano (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 4 times, Operario-PR won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from Cuiaba's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: Cuiaba 3-4-2-1 / Operario-PR 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cuiaba wins 4, draws 5, Operario-PR wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 14 8 5 30:15 15 50
W D D W W
2 27 13 8 6 28:21 7 47
L W L L D
3 26 13 7 6 44:23 21 46
W W W W D
4 26 13 5 8 37:30 7 44
L W D W W
5 26 12 8 6 29:22 7 44
W D W D D
6 26 12 6 8 40:36 4 42
W W L W D
7 26 11 7 8 33:33 0 40
W D D L L
8 26 10 10 6 30:25 5 40
D W W D L
9 27 9 12 6 26:21 5 39
W L W D W
10 26 9 11 6 34:26 8 38
L L W L W
11 26 10 7 9 31:28 3 37
W W D W D
12 27 9 10 8 31:30 1 37
L W L L L
13 26 10 6 10 25:31 -6 36
L W D L L
14 26 9 8 9 36:29 7 35
W L D D L
15 26 8 7 11 29:29 0 31
L L L D W
16 26 8 7 11 27:33 -6 31
W L W L L
17 26 8 5 13 28:34 -6 29
L L W W W
18 26 5 7 14 30:38 -8 22
L D L D L
19 26 3 5 18 19:45 -26 14
L W L L L
20 26 2 4 20 16:54 -38 10
L L L L D
Promotion
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