BRAZIL SERIE B
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Arena Pantanal

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cuiaba Win 71.2%
Draw 10.3%
Londrina Win 18.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cuiaba1.04
Londrina0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WWDLW
9 GF / 6 GA
Londrina Londrina
WLDWL
17 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.69
Average Goals Scored
1.21
0.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
3
BTTS Yes
7
1
Over 2.5
9
4.15
Shots on Goal
3.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cuiaba Cuiaba 13 matches
Londrina Londrina 14 matches
Cuiaba Statistic Londrina
4 Wins 4
7 Draws 2
2 Losses 8
9 Goals For 17
6 Goals Against 22
0.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
0.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
3 BTTS Yes 7
6 Over 1.5 10
1 Over 2.5 9
0 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 6
4.15 Shots On Goal 3.54
11.23 Total Shots 11.69
3.46 Corners 5.85
46.8% Ball Possession 45.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cuiaba's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Londrina. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Londrina in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Londrina having the stronger overall control. Cuiaba arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 19 points compared to Londrina in 17 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Londrina arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Cuiaba Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Cuiaba have collected 19 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:6 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Hernandes (2 goals), Joao Basso (2 goals), Calebe Costa (1 goals), with creative support from Pepê (2 assists), Hernandes (1 assists), Joao Basso (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina sit 17 with 11 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats with a 15:22 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Bruno Santos (5 goals), Andre Luiz (2 goals), Iago (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), Paulinho Moccelin (2 assists), Iago (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 0 times, Londrina won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Cuiaba's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
Predicted formations: Cuiaba 4-1-4-1 / Londrina 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Cuiaba wins 0, draws 0, Londrina wins 2
Last matches: Cuiaba
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
Last matches: Londrina
20.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Avai
3
2
W
06.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Criciuma
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
18.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Ponte Preta
4
1
W
12.05.26
Ser
Londrina
São Bernardo
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Operario-PR
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
3
1
W
H2H: Cuiaba vs Londrina
05.10.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Londrina
0
1
L
07.06.19
H2H
Londrina
Cuiaba
1
0
L
Last matches: Cuiaba
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
H2H at home: Cuiaba
05.10.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Londrina
0
1
L
Last matches: Londrina
06.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Criciuma
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
18.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Ponte Preta
4
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Operario-PR
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
3
1
W
H2H away: Londrina
05.10.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Londrina
0
1
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 4 2 20:10 10 25
D W D W D
2 13 7 4 2 18:12 6 25
L W W W W
3 14 6 7 1 17:9 8 25
D D D W W
4 13 6 3 4 15:14 1 21
L W L W L
5 13 5 6 2 20:13 7 21
D W D W D
6 13 5 6 2 15:11 4 21
D W W D D
7 13 6 2 5 18:14 4 20
D L L W W
8 13 5 4 4 13:8 5 19
W L W L D
9 13 5 4 4 15:17 -2 19
L W W D L
10 13 4 7 2 9:6 3 19
W W W L D
11 13 4 7 2 15:13 2 19
D D W W D
12 13 5 3 5 13:18 -5 18
D L D W W
13 14 4 6 4 16:16 0 18
D D W D L
14 13 4 5 4 15:15 0 17
D W L L W
15 13 4 3 6 22:23 -1 15
D L L W W
16 13 3 4 6 13:13 0 13
W L D L L
17 13 3 2 8 15:22 -7 11
W L L L W
18 13 2 4 7 14:20 -6 10
L L L L L
19 13 2 2 9 10:25 -15 8
L L D L L
20 13 1 3 9 10:24 -14 6
W L L L D
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