BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Pantanal
Referee: Joao Vitor Gobi, Brazil
Cuiaba
Match Timeline
Atletico Goianiense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
38'
David
Cuiaba
🟨
39'
Guilherme Marques
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
45+1'
Railan
Cuiaba
🔄
46'
Geovany Soares ↔ Léo Tocantins
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
46'
Guilherme Marques ↔ Bruno José
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
57'
Igor Henrique ↔ Klebert
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
59'
David ↔ Luiz Otavio
Cuiaba
🔄
59'
Rodrigo Rodrigues ↔ Kauan Cristtyan
Cuiaba
61'
Bruno José · Assist: Guilherme Lopes
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
63'
Pepê
Cuiaba
🔄
67'
Jean Dias ↔ Eliel
Cuiaba
🔄
67'
Fábio Gomes ↔ Pedro Henrique
Cuiaba
🔄
67'
Marlon Lopes ↔ Eric
Cuiaba
🔄
74'
Marrony ↔ Cristiano
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
80'
Cristiano
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
86'
Leandro Vilela ↔ Tito
Atletico Goianiense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cuiaba Win 50.4%
Draw 13.1%
Atletico Goianiense Win 36.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cuiaba0.89
Atletico Goianiense0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WWDLW
14 GF / 13 GA
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WLDWL
19 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
5
BTTS Yes
10
3
Over 2.5
7
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cuiaba Cuiaba 18 matches
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 18 matches
Cuiaba Statistic Atletico Goianiense
5 Wins 6
9 Draws 7
4 Losses 5
14 Goals For 19
13 Goals Against 19
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
5 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 12
3 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 1
9 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 5
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.33
12.61 Total Shots 13.83
4.78 Corners 5.83
48.7% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Cuiaba's more proactive style and Atletico Goianiense's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Atletico Goianiense. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Atletico Goianiense in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Goianiense having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba are currently 11 in the standings with 24 points from 17 matches. The record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 14:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through João Basso (2 goals), Hernandes (2 goals), Pepê (1 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), João Basso (1 assists), Hernandes (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

Atletico Goianiense sit 10 with 24 points after 17 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 19:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gustavo Coutinho (6 goals), Leo Jacó (3 goals), Guilherme Marques (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Geovany Soares (2 assists), Bruno José (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 1 times, Atletico Goianiense won 3 times, while 10 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Cuiaba's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: Cuiaba 5-4-1 / Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cuiaba wins 1, draws 10, Atletico Goianiense wins 3
Stats
Cuiaba Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
8 Corner Kicks 2
10 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 3
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 4
7 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
410 Total passes 342
353 Passes accurate 279
0.36 expected_goals 0.42
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cuiaba
Formation
Atletico Goianiense
Marcelo Carné
Marcelo Carné
Railan
Railan
João Basso
João Basso
Alan Empereur
Alan Empereur
Marlon Lopes
Marlon Lopes
Raul
Raul
Jean Dias
Jean Dias
David
David
Pepê
Pepê
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Fábio Gomes
Fábio Gomes
Paulo Vítor
Paulo Vítor
Ewerthon
Ewerthon
Junior Barreto
Junior Barreto
Adriano Martins
Adriano Martins
Guilherme Lopes
🎯
Guilherme Lopes
Leandro Vilela
Leandro Vilela
Guilherme Marques
Guilherme Marques
Igor Henrique
Igor Henrique
Marrony
Marrony
Geovany Soares
Geovany Soares
Gustavo Coutinho
Gustavo Coutinho
Cuiaba 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
31
Marcelo Carné
G
37
Railan
🟨 45+1'
D
13
João Basso
D
33
Alan Empereur
D
6
Marlon Lopes
↓ 67'
D
30
Raul
M
77
Jean Dias
↓ 67'
M
20
David
↓ 59' 🟨 38'
M
8
Pepê
🟨 63'
M
27
Rodrigo Rodrigues
↓ 59'
M
90
Fábio Gomes
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
41
Kauan Cristtyan
↑ 59'
F
97
Luiz Otavio
↑ 59'
M
14
Eric
↑ 67'
D
11
Eliel
↑ 67'
F
96
Pedro Henrique
↑ 67'
F
1
João Carlos
G
4
Vitor Mendes
D
36
Lorenzo
D
2
Igor Inocencio
D
5
Calebe Costa
M
70
Wesley
M
29
Vinicius Peixoto
F
Atletico Goianiense 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Paulo Vítor
G
2
Ewerthon
D
3
Junior Barreto
D
4
Adriano Martins
D
6
Guilherme Lopes
🎯 61'
D
5
Leandro Vilela
↓ 86'
M
7
Guilherme Marques
↓ 46' 🟨 39'
M
8
Igor Henrique
↓ 57'
M
10
Marrony
↓ 74'
M
11
Geovany Soares
↓ 46'
M
9
Gustavo Coutinho
🟨 30'
F
Substitutes
18
Bruno José
⚽ 61' ↑ 46'
M
19
Léo Tocantins
↑ 46'
F
17
Klebert
↑ 57'
M
16
Cristiano
↑ 74' 🟨 80'
M
14
Tito
↑ 86'
D
15
Gustavo Daniel
D
13
Natã
D
12
Paulo
G
20
Leo Jacó
F
Last matches: Cuiaba
22.08.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
1
1
D
19.08.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
1
0
W
15.08.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
3
1
W
09.08.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
27.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Juventude
0
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
02.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
1
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Avai
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
Last matches: Atletico Goianiense
25.08.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
3
0
W
18.08.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
0
0
D
15.08.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
0
2
L
09.08.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
27.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
3
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Athletic Club
0
0
D
12.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
0
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
19.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
CRB
3
3
D
08.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Goias
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Juventude
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
2
1
W
H2H: Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense
23.07.26
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
07.04.26
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
1
0
L
24.08.25
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
2
2
D
22.04.25
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
1
1
D
18.10.24
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
0
0
D
22.06.24
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
21.08.22
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
1
1
D
12.05.22
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
30.04.22
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
22.04.22
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
1
1
D
26.09.21
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
0
0
D
21.07.21
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
08.10.19
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
1
1
D
11.06.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
Last matches: Cuiaba
22.08.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
1
1
D
19.08.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
1
0
W
09.08.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
02.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
1
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
H2H at home: Cuiaba
23.07.26
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
24.08.25
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
2
2
D
22.06.24
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
12.05.22
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
30.04.22
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
21.07.21
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
11.06.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
Last matches: Atletico Goianiense
18.08.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
0
0
D
09.08.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
0
3
L
19.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
1
1
D
08.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
0
1
L
H2H away: Atletico Goianiense
23.07.26
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
W
24.08.25
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
2
2
D
22.06.24
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
12.05.22
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
30.04.22
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
21.07.21
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
L
11.06.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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