BRAZIL SERIE B
08.09.2026 23:30
Arena Pantanal
Referee: B. Vasconcelos
Cuiaba
Match Timeline
Athletic Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
37'
Fabio Gomes · Assist: Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo
Cuiaba
🔄
59'
David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo ↔ Wesley Dias Claudino
Cuiaba
🔄
59'
Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo ↔ Eliel Chrystian
Cuiaba
62'
Jhonatan
Cuiaba
🔄
65'
Yago Santos de Andrade ↔ Redney
Athletic Club
🔄
65'
Enzo Henrique dos Santos ↔ Otavio Bruno Dos Santos
Athletic Club
🔄
65'
Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes ↔ Gian Franco Cabezas Rodriguez
Athletic Club
69'
Jean Dias da Costa · Assist: Eliel Chrystian
Cuiaba
🔄
70'
Fabio Gomes ↔ Vinicius Peixoto
Cuiaba
🔄
70'
Jean Dias da Costa ↔ Ramon de Araujo Silva Moutinho
Cuiaba
🔄
70'
Maswel Ananias Silva ↔ Jhan Pool Torres Cañete
Athletic Club
🔄
73'
Carlos Moisés de Lima ↔ Yarlen Faustino Augusto
Athletic Club
🟨
84'
Igor
Cuiaba
🔄
86'
Igor ↔ Railan Ferreira
Cuiaba

Cuiaba vs Athletic Club Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.2%
1.18
BTTS Yes
75.1%
2.25
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.68
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.25
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Cuiaba Win 42.9%
Draw 25.4%
Athletic Club Win 31.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cuiaba0.94
Athletic Club1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WWDLW
23 GF / 21 GA
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WLDWL
31 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.19
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
10
BTTS Yes
15
5
Over 2.5
9
4.12
Shots on Goal
3.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cuiaba Cuiaba 26 matches
Athletic Club Athletic Club 26 matches
Cuiaba Statistic Athletic Club
8 Wins 9
12 Draws 10
6 Losses 7
23 Goals For 31
21 Goals Against 27
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
10 BTTS Yes 15
15 Over 1.5 19
5 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 7
11 Failed To Score 7
4.12 Shots On Goal 3.38
13.08 Total Shots 11.35
5.08 Corners 4.23
47.9% Ball Possession 43.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Cuiaba's more proactive style and Athletic Club's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Athletic Club. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Athletic Club in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Athletic Club having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Athletic Club arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cuiaba Analysis

So far, Cuiaba have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 36 points from 25 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 12 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 23:19 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by João Basso (2 goals), Kauan Cristtyan (2 goals), Hernandes (2 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), Rodrigo Rodrigues (2 assists), Eliel (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club sit 13 with 34 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 7 defeats with a 26:27 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (4 goals), Max (2 goals), with creative support from Max (3 assists), Ian Luccas (2 assists), Lucas Belezi (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 2 times, Athletic Club won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Cuiaba's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.6%)
Predicted formations: Cuiaba 3-4-2-1 / Athletic Club 3-4-3
H2H summary: Cuiaba wins 2, draws 1, Athletic Club wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
11 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
12 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
13 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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