BRAZIL SERIE B
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Arena Pantanal

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.6%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cuiaba Win 70.6%
Draw 9.1%
America Mineiro Win 20.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cuiaba1.15
America Mineiro0.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WWDLW
11 GF / 9 GA
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WLDWL
10 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
0.71
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
4
BTTS Yes
7
2
Over 2.5
9
4.07
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cuiaba Cuiaba 15 matches
America Mineiro America Mineiro 14 matches
Cuiaba Statistic America Mineiro
4 Wins 1
8 Draws 3
3 Losses 10
11 Goals For 10
9 Goals Against 25
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
4 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 11
2 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 6
4.07 Shots On Goal 4
10.93 Total Shots 11.57
3.87 Corners 5.57
44.6% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Cuiaba's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward America Mineiro. America Mineiro arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Cuiaba arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 19 points compared to America Mineiro in 20 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and America Mineiro in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America Mineiro having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba are currently 10 in the standings with 19 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 9:7 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by João Basso (2 goals), Hernandes (2 goals), Pepê (1 goals), with creative support from Pepê (2 assists), João Basso (1 assists), Hernandes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

America Mineiro Analysis

America Mineiro sit 20 with 6 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats with a 10:25 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), Felipe Amaral (1 goals), Nathan Cardoso (1 goals), with creative support from Matías Segovia (2 assists), Willian Bigode (2 assists), Felipe Amaral (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 4 times, America Mineiro won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:14 from Cuiaba's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.9%)
Predicted formations: Cuiaba 4-1-4-1 / America Mineiro 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cuiaba wins 4, draws 4, America Mineiro wins 4
Last matches: Cuiaba
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Avai
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
Last matches: America Mineiro
23.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Criciuma
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
08.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Juventude
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
0
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
CRB
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
3
L
H2H: Cuiaba vs America Mineiro
16.11.25
H2H
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
1
1
D
24.07.25
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
3
1
W
15.09.23
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
2
2
D
07.05.23
H2H
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
1
2
W
29.09.22
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
2
1
W
04.06.22
H2H
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
2
1
L
02.10.21
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
0
2
L
17.06.21
H2H
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
0
0
D
15.11.20
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
0
0
D
12.08.20
H2H
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
0
1
W
12.11.19
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
0
2
L
17.08.19
H2H
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
2
1
L
Last matches: Cuiaba
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
H2H at home: Cuiaba
24.07.25
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
3
1
W
15.09.23
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
2
2
D
29.09.22
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
2
1
W
02.10.21
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
0
2
L
15.11.20
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
0
0
D
12.11.19
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
0
2
L
Last matches: America Mineiro
16.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Juventude
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
0
4
L
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
3
L
H2H away: America Mineiro
24.07.25
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
3
1
L
15.09.23
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
2
2
D
29.09.22
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
2
1
L
02.10.21
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
0
2
W
15.11.20
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
0
0
D
12.11.19
H2H
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
0
2
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 4 2 22:15 7 28
W L W W W
2 14 7 4 3 20:11 9 25
L D W D W
3 14 6 7 1 17:9 8 25
D D D W W
4 14 6 6 2 22:13 9 24
W D W D W
5 14 6 6 2 16:11 5 24
W D W W D
6 14 6 4 4 14:8 6 22
W W L W L
7 14 6 4 4 18:17 1 22
W L W W D
8 14 6 4 4 16:15 1 22
D L W L W
9 14 6 2 6 21:18 3 20
L D L L W
10 15 4 8 3 11:9 2 20
D L W W W
11 14 4 7 3 15:15 0 19
L D D W W
12 14 5 3 6 13:21 -8 18
L D L D W
13 14 4 6 4 16:16 0 18
D D W D L
14 14 4 5 5 15:16 -1 17
L D W L L
15 14 4 4 6 14:13 1 16
W W L D L
16 14 4 4 6 23:24 -1 16
D D L L W
17 15 4 3 8 19:24 -5 15
D W W L L
18 14 3 4 7 15:20 -5 13
W L L L L
19 14 2 2 10 10:27 -17 8
L L L D L
20 14 1 3 10 10:25 -15 6
L W L L L
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