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26.10.2026 17:30
Balgarska Armiya Stadium
Referee: Marijan Grebencharski
CSKA Sofia
Match Timeline
Ludogorets
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
Ludogorets
⚽
26'
Ángelo Martino · Assist: Santiago Godoy
CSKA Sofia
🔄
46'
simeon shishkov ↔ Anton Nedyalkov
Ludogorets
🟨
52'
Bruno Jordão
CSKA Sofia
🟨
60'
Caio Vidal Rocha
Ludogorets
🟨
63'
Ángelo Martino
CSKA Sofia
🔄
64'
Aguibou Camara ↔ petar stanic
Ludogorets
🔄
64'
Bernard Tekpetey ↔ Erick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do Carmo
Ludogorets
🟨
65'
teodor ivanov
CSKA Sofia
🔄
68'
David Samuel Custódio Lima ↔ Barry Cotter
CSKA Sofia
🔄
68'
Ioannis Pittas ↔ Jean-Philippe Gbamin
CSKA Sofia
🔄
78'
Joel Andersson ↔ Ivajlo Čočev
Ludogorets
🔄
78'
Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz ↔ Kwadwo Duah
Ludogorets
🔄
81'
mohamed brahimi ↔ Petko Panayotov
CSKA Sofia
🔄
81'
teodor ivanov ↔ Dinis Almeida
CSKA Sofia
🟨
82'
Petko Panayotov
CSKA Sofia
🟨
86'
petar stanic
Ludogorets
🔄
86'
Stefano Sensi ↔ Isaac Solet Bomawoko
CSKA Sofia
⚽
88'
Santiago Godoy · Assist: Isaac Solet Bomawoko
CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 44%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
44%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
CSKA Sofia Win 44%
Draw 17%
Ludogorets Win 39.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA Sofia1.56
Ludogorets1.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
D L W D W
9 GF / 7 GA
Ludogorets Ludogorets
W W W W W
17 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.87
Average Goals Scored
2.38
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
17
BTTS Yes
12
21
Over 2.5
13
4.19
Shots on Goal
3.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 30 matches
Ludogorets Ludogorets 21 matches
CSKA Sofia Statistic Ludogorets
16 Wins 15
7 Draws 5
7 Losses 1
56 Goals For 50
38 Goals Against 23
1.87 Avg Goals Scored 2.38
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
17 BTTS Yes 12
26 Over 1.5 18
21 Over 2.5 13
12 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 1
4.19 Shots On Goal 3.17
8.86 Total Shots 7.17
3.57 Corners 2.75
33.5% Ball Possession 33.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ludogorets. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CSKA Sofia expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Ludogorets in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ludogorets having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

CSKA Sofia Analysis

CSKA Sofia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 27 points after 11 outings. With 8 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 27:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Ludogorets Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 26 points from 10 games, Ludogorets bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:7, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Sofia won 2 times, Ludogorets won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:21 from CSKA Sofia's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83%)
Predicted formations: CSKA Sofia 4-1-4-1 / Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CSKA Sofia wins 2, draws 4, Ludogorets wins 9

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 2 0 25:5 20 32
W D W D W
2 13 9 4 0 29:9 20 31
D W W D W
3 12 9 2 1 24:9 15 29
W L W W W
4 13 9 1 3 31:14 17 28
W W L W W
5 14 7 2 5 23:21 2 23
D W L W W
6 13 6 3 4 18:19 -1 21
W D L D L
7 13 2 7 4 9:9 0 13
D D L L D
8 13 3 4 6 12:23 -11 13
L L W L D
9 13 3 3 7 14:22 -8 12
W W L D D
10 14 3 3 8 16:23 -7 12
D L W W D
11 14 3 2 9 12:25 -13 11
W L L L L
12 13 2 4 7 10:22 -12 10
L D L D D
13 14 1 6 7 15:26 -11 9
L L D D W
14 13 2 3 8 6:17 -11 9
L D D D L
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