RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
VEB Arena
Referee: A. Chistyakov
CSKA Moscow
Match Timeline
Lokomotiv
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
35'
D. Kozlov · Assist: D. Krugovoy
CSKA Moscow
🔄
39'
Lucas Fasson ↔ G. Nyamsi
Lokomotiv
57'
M. Nenakhov
CSKA Moscow
🔄
61'
D. Prutsev ↔ L. Vera
Lokomotiv
🔄
61'
A. Rudenko ↔ N. Saltykov
Lokomotiv
🔄
61'
S. Pinyaev ↔ V. Sarveli
Lokomotiv
🔄
63'
Matheus Reis ↔ T. Musaev
CSKA Moscow
🔄
63'
M. Voronov ↔ A. Bandikyan
CSKA Moscow
70'
A. Silyanov · Assist: N. Saltykov
Lokomotiv
🔄
71'
D. Kozlov ↔ Matheus Alves
CSKA Moscow
🟨
76'
Aleksey Batrakov
Lokomotiv
🔄
86'
D. Vorobyev ↔ R. Myalkovskiy
Lokomotiv
🔄
90+5'
I. Oblyakov ↔ M. Badmaev
CSKA Moscow
90'
D. Krugovoy · Assist: Matheus Alves
CSKA Moscow

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
CSKA Moscow Win 37.9%
Draw 25.9%
Lokomotiv Win 36.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA Moscow1.34
Lokomotiv1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
WWDLW
41 GF / 32 GA
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv
WLDWL
53 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
16
BTTS Yes
19
13
Over 2.5
15
4.38
Shots on Goal
5.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 29 matches
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 29 matches
CSKA Moscow Statistic Lokomotiv
14 Wins 14
6 Draws 11
9 Losses 4
41 Goals For 53
32 Goals Against 36
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
16 BTTS Yes 19
19 Over 1.5 24
13 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 4
4.38 Shots On Goal 5.31
14 Total Shots 13.9
5.41 Corners 4.41
56.8% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lokomotiv. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CSKA Moscow expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Lokomotiv in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lokomotiv having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

CSKA Moscow Analysis

CSKA Moscow arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 48 points after 29 matches. The record of 14 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 41:32 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ivan Oblyakov (6 goals), D. Krugovoy (5 goals), Kirill Glebov (5 goals), with creative support from D. Krugovoy (6 assists), Ivan Oblyakov (5 assists), M. Kislyak (5 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Lokomotiv Analysis

Lokomotiv arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 53 points after 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 11 draws, and 4 losses, while the 53:36 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Batrakov (13 goals), D. Vorobyev (10 goals), A. Rudenko (7 goals), with creative support from A. Batrakov (9 assists), Z. Bakaev (5 assists), N. Komlichenko (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Moscow won 6 times, Lokomotiv won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:23 from CSKA Moscow's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.1%)
Predicted formations: CSKA Moscow 4-1-4-1 / Lokomotiv 4-2-3-1
Missing players: CSKA Moscow 1, Lokomotiv 2
H2H summary: CSKA Moscow wins 6, draws 4, Lokomotiv wins 5
Stats
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 5
11 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 9
2 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 13
4 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
372 Total passes 486
295 Passes accurate 415
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

CSKA Moscow
Formation
Lokomotiv
V. Torop
V. Torop
M. Gajic
M. Gajic
M. Lukin
M. Lukin
K. Danilov
K. Danilov
Matheus Reis
Matheus Reis
M. Kislyak
M. Kislyak
D. Barinov
D. Barinov
D. Krugovoy
🎯
D. Krugovoy
I. Oblyakov
I. Oblyakov
D. Kozlov
D. Kozlov
M. Voronov
M. Voronov
A. Mitryushkin
A. Mitryushkin
A. Rudenko
A. Rudenko
M. Nenakhov
M. Nenakhov
A. Silyanov
A. Silyanov
E. Morozov
E. Morozov
Lucas Fasson
Lucas Fasson
D. Prutsev
D. Prutsev
A. Karpukas
A. Karpukas
S. Pinyaev
S. Pinyaev
A. Batrakov
A. Batrakov
D. Vorobyev
D. Vorobyev
CSKA Moscow 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
49
V. Torop
G
22
M. Gajic
D
90
M. Lukin
D
79
K. Danilov
D
2
Matheus Reis
↓ 63'
D
31
M. Kislyak
M
6
D. Barinov
M
3
D. Krugovoy
⚽ 90' 🎯 35'
M
10
I. Oblyakov
↓ 90+5'
M
18
D. Kozlov
⚽ 35' ↓ 71'
M
97
M. Voronov
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
85
E. Besaev
G
99
N. Barovskiy
G
4
Joao Victor
D
20
M. Popovic
M
87
A. Ponomarchuk
M
7
Matheus Alves
🎯 90' ↑ 71'
M
11
T. Musaev
↑ 63'
F
67
M. Badmaev
↑ 90+5'
D
52
A. Bandikyan
↑ 63'
M
37
Henrique Carmo
F
62
I. Firov
M
Lokomotiv 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
A. Mitryushkin
G
19
A. Rudenko
↓ 61'
D
24
M. Nenakhov
⚽ 57'
D
45
A. Silyanov
⚽ 70'
D
85
E. Morozov
D
3
Lucas Fasson
↓ 39'
D
25
D. Prutsev
↓ 61'
M
93
A. Karpukas
M
9
S. Pinyaev
↓ 61'
M
83
A. Batrakov
🟨 76'
F
10
D. Vorobyev
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
22
I. Lantratov
G
16
D. Veselov
G
94
A. Timofeev
M
32
L. Vera
↑ 61'
M
14
N. Saltykov
🎯 70' ↑ 61'
M
2
C. Ramirez
D
8
V. Sarveli
↑ 61'
M
5
G. Nyamsi
↑ 39'
D
88
M. Shchetinin
M
99
R. Myalkovskiy
↑ 86'
F
90
D. Godyaev
M
74
D. Chevardin
D
Last matches: CSKA Moscow
11.05.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Sochi
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Akron
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
1
4
L
01.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Akhmat
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
2
W
18.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
3
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
2
2
D
06.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
1
1
D
03.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
2
2
D
25.01.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Samarqand
3
4
L
22.01.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Akron
3
1
W
07.12.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
2
3
L
29.11.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
2
0
W
Last matches: Lokomotiv
10.05.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Baltika
1
0
W
01.05.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Krylia Sovetov
0
2
L
22.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Zenit
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Akron
5
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Rubin
0
3
L
09.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Akhmat
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
2
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Samarqand
4
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Yelimay Semey
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
FC Urartu
3
2
W
05.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Ural
3
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
FC Noah
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
FC Rostov
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Chengdu Better City
4
0
W
H2H: CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv
17.05.26
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
1
W
21.02.26
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
2
W
18.10.25
H2H
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
3
0
L
01.10.25
H2H
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
0
0
D
30.07.25
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
2
1
W
19.05.25
H2H
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
2
2
D
18.08.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
0
1
L
13.04.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Moscow
CSKA Moscow
3
3
D
05.08.23
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow
4
1
W
23.04.23
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow
1
1
D
29.10.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Moscow
CSKA Moscow
0
1
W
12.03.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Moscow
CSKA Moscow
1
2
W
05.09.21
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow
1
2
L
31.07.21
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow
1
2
L
21.04.21
H2H
Lokomotiv Moscow
CSKA Moscow
3
0
L
Last matches: CSKA Moscow
02.05.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Sochi
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
3
1
W
08.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
1
4
L
21.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
2
W
18.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
3
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
1
1
D
03.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
2
2
D
25.01.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Samarqand
3
4
L
29.11.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
2
0
W
31.10.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
0
W
05.10.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
3
2
W
28.09.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
1
0
W
31.08.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
1
D
24.08.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Akron
3
1
W
09.08.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Rubin
5
1
W
27.07.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Akhmat
2
1
W
H2H at home: CSKA Moscow
17.05.26
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
1
W
21.02.26
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
2
W
30.07.25
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
2
1
W
18.08.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
0
1
L
05.08.23
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow
4
1
W
23.04.23
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow
1
1
D
05.09.21
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow
1
2
L
31.07.21
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow
1
2
L
Last matches: Lokomotiv
25.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Krylia Sovetov
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Rubin
0
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
2
3
L
05.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Ural
3
2
W
24.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
FC Rostov
1
1
D
07.12.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
FC Sochi
4
2
W
30.11.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
FC Rostov
3
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
Zenit
0
2
L
26.10.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
Akron
1
1
D
04.10.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
5
3
W
20.09.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
Akhmat
1
1
D
16.08.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
Baltika
1
1
D
02.08.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
Nizhny Novgorod
3
2
W
26.07.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
FC Krasnodar
2
1
W
H2H away: Lokomotiv
17.05.26
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
1
L
21.02.26
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
2
L
30.07.25
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
2
1
L
18.08.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
0
1
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

CSKA Moscow 1 missing
-
I. Akinfeev
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
Lokomotiv 2 missing
-
Z. Bakaev
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
E. Pogostnov
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT