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21.11.2026 16:45
VEB Arena

CSKA Moscow vs Akhmat Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
CSKA Moscow Win 68.1%
Draw 19.5%
Akhmat Win 12.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA Moscow1.47
Akhmat1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
W L D W L
9 GF / 8 GA
Akhmat Akhmat
W L L L D
3 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1
22
BTTS Yes
12
18
Over 2.5
13
5.2
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 29 matches
Akhmat Akhmat 28 matches
CSKA Moscow Statistic Akhmat
12 Wins 13
10 Draws 7
7 Losses 8
52 Goals For 43
44 Goals Against 28
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1
22 BTTS Yes 12
25 Over 1.5 19
18 Over 2.5 13
15 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 11
4 Failed To Score 7
5.2 Shots On Goal 3.71
15.53 Total Shots 12.93
4.33 Corners 4.43
47.9% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by CSKA Moscow's more proactive style and Akhmat's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Akhmat. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Akhmat arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CSKA Moscow expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Akhmat in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Akhmat having the stronger overall control. CSKA Moscow arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 26 points compared to Akhmat in 12 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

CSKA Moscow Analysis

Placed 5 with 26 points from 14 outings, CSKA Moscow continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 23:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Oblyakov (7 goals), K. Glebov (3 goals), L. Gondou (3 goals), with creative support from D. Krugovoy (3 assists), M. Kislyak (2 assists), I. Oblyakov (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Akhmat Analysis

Akhmat approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 14 points from 14 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 16:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Egas Cacintura (2 goals), G. Melkadze (2 goals), L. Sadulaev (1 goals), with creative support from A. Adamov (2 assists), Egas Cacintura (1 assists), L. Sadulaev (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Moscow won 10 times, Akhmat won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:13 from CSKA Moscow's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (87.6%)
Predicted formations: CSKA Moscow 5-3-2 / Akhmat 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CSKA Moscow wins 10, draws 2, Akhmat wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 32:15 17 31
D W W W W
2 14 10 1 3 23:13 10 31
W W L W W
3 14 9 2 3 27:11 16 29
W W L W D
4 14 7 5 2 25:18 7 26
W L D D L
5 14 7 5 2 23:16 7 26
L D W L W
6 14 5 4 5 18:19 -1 19
D W W D W
7 14 4 6 4 19:20 -1 18
W L W L D
8 14 4 6 4 14:18 -4 18
W W L L L
9 14 4 5 5 17:15 2 17
L W D D D
10 14 3 8 3 14:14 0 17
L D W D W
11 14 5 1 8 17:26 -9 16
W L L D L
12 14 3 5 6 16:19 -3 14
W L L L D
13 14 3 3 8 15:29 -14 12
L W W D L
14 14 2 6 6 17:25 -8 12
L L W D L
15 14 2 5 7 16:21 -5 11
L L L D W
16 14 1 3 10 9:23 -14 6
L L L W L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL